Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Andrew Rogers | Updated May 12, 2021

The Mavericks control their fate when it comes to avoiding the play-in round, as they enter Wednesday a game up on the seventh-placed Los Angeles Lakers. Winning out might be enough to push Dallas past Portland and into fifth place in the Conference.

New Orleans
31-41
AT
May 12, 2021, 9:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
42-30
Pointspread +9.5 -105
Moneyline +385
Over / Under o +226

43%

Betting Action

57%

Pointspread -9.5 -115
Moneyline -510
Over / Under u +226

43%

Betting Action

57%

With each of their final three regular-season opponents boasting sub-.500 records, the Dallas Mavericks have no excuses as they look to secure one of the top six seeds in the Western Conference standings. That quest resumes Wednesday night against a visiting New Orleans Pelicans team that will need a minor miracle to secure the final West play-in berth, trailing 10th-place San Antonio by 2 ½ games with just three contests left to play.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

A line that opened with the Mavericks as double-digit favourites has since settled in at Dallas -8.5. The Mavs are an impressive 4-1 against the spread in their previous five games, though they’re coming off a 133-104 setback to the Memphis Grizzlies that halted a four-game winning streak and might leave some doubt in the minds of bettors. There’s also the fact that the Pelicans have been red-hot ATS of late, coming in with an 8-1 mark over their past nine games.

The total is set at 224, with the Over and Under boasting identical -110 odds. These teams are on the opposite end of the spectrum with regard to season-long trends, with the Pelicans at 39-29-1 O/U for the year and the Mavericks at 31-38. That said, the Mavericks have converted the Over in six of their past nine games overall, and these teams are an eye-popping 9-4 to the Over in their previous 13 head-to-head encounters.

New Orleans Pelicans

Expect the Pelicans to pull out all the stops – but only figuratively – in their final push to an unlikely postseason berth. New Orleans ranks 25th in the NBA in points allowed per game (115.1), negating its eighth-ranked offence (114.8) and leaving it on the cusp of missing the playoffs for a third consecutive season. The Pelicans are a sizzling 16-6 SU when they score more than 120 points this season, and just 15-32 when they don’t.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks control their fate when it comes to avoiding the play-in round, as they enter Wednesday a game up on the seventh-placed Los Angeles Lakers. Dallas will wrap up its regular-season docket with games against the Pelicans, Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves, who are a combined 47 games below .500 as of Wednesday. Winning out might be enough to push Dallas past Portland and into fifth place in the Conference.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Pelicans vs. Mavericks?

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