Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 4 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 11, 2024

NBA: Playoffs-Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

The Denver Nuggets aren't going down without a fight as they look to even their second-round Western Conference playoff series against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday.

Denver
57-25
AT
May 12, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Target Center
Minnesota
56-26
Pointspread +3.5 -105
Moneyline +155
Over / Under o +205.5

0%

Betting Action

51%

Pointspread -3.5 -115
Moneyline -185
Over / Under u +205.5

0%

Betting Action

51%

No NBA team has ever successfully come back to win a playoff series when trailing 3-0, so Friday’s 117-90 Game 3 victory for Denver was virtually a must-win game. Now trailing the Timberwolves 2-1 in the series, the defending NBA champions have a chance to level things when the teams meet in Minnesota for Game 4 on Sunday night.

The T-Wolves opened as 2.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with the total set at 204.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Betting Odds

After splitting the regular season series evenly, it was surprising to see Minnesota absolutely dominate the Nuggets both games in Denver, so maybe we’re set to see the reverse in Games 3 and 4. Two of the first three games in this series have played the Under, which makes sense as only the winning team has cracked double digit points in each contest.

Oddsmakers continue to favour the Timberwolves, with Minnesota sitting as -210 favourites on the series line and Denver at +175. That’s almost a complete reversal from before Game 1 as the Nuggets entered the series as -200 favourites and the Timberwolves were +165 underdogs. The favoured exact series result is now a Minnesota win in six games at +200 and the biggest long shot is a Denver win in six at +700.

This Western Conference heavyweight series features two of the top three favourites to win the NBA championship, with the Timberwolves at +375 and the Nuggets at +700 on the NBA futures board. They both trail the Boston Celtics at -115.

Denver Nuggets

It was a much better response from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray in Game 3, with each player recording a game-high 24 points. Jokic nearly missed out on a triple-double as he also had 14 rebounds and nine assists. Michael Porter Jr. added 21 points and Denver shot 14-for-29 as a team from three-point range. The stats say it’s still an uphill battle for the Nuggets as only five teams in NBA history have lost the first two games of a best-of-seven series at home and rallied to win the series.

Jokic and Murray will determine how this series goes for Denver. Murray, who combined for just 25 points on 9-of-32 shooting with a minus-38 rating over the first two games, showed cleared frustration and was fined $100,000 by the NBA after throwing a heat pack on the floor during Game 2. Murray keeping his composure and producing is key for the Nuggets.

Minnesota Timberwolves

After averaging 35.0 points per game over Games 1 and 2, Anthony Edwards was quieter in Game 3, finishing with a team-high 19 points. Despite Karl-Anthony Towns nailing four of five attempts from beyond the arc, Minnesota shot just 10 for 32 as a team from three-point range. The T-Wolves trailed by as many as 34 points in the game as they became the last playoff team to lose this year. Towns finished with 14 points, while Mike Conley Jr. and Jaden McDaniels each had 10.

Minnesota wasn’t going to go 16-0 in the playoffs, so Game 3’s reality check at home is a great opportunity for them to show they are mentally tough. NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert, who missed Game 2 for the birth of his son, was a non-factor in Game 3 and will need to be better to slow Denver down outside the paint.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 4?

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