NBA Playoff Betting History: The West is the best over the last decade
With the NBA playoffs due to start on April 20, it’s time to start thinking about the teams you want to back to go on a long postseason run. To do that, let’s go back in time for some NBA historical playoff facts and stats to help with your postseason picks.
Make sure to check out our complete list of NBA game odds, NBA futures and NBA props and specials.
West is the best
It’s pretty clear the Western Conference has reigned supreme over the last decade, with seven of the last 10 NBA champions coming from the West. Some of that comes down to the Golden State Warriors dynasty that won four championships between 2015 and 2022, but you also have to consider the fact that a team like the L.A. Lakers will always have a chance to win with the money they are willing to spend and the star power they can attract.
| Year | Team | Opponent | Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | 4-1 |
| 2023 | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | 4-1 |
| 2022 | Golden State Warriors | Boston Celtics | 4-2 |
| 2021 | Milwaukee Bucks | Phoenix Suns | 4-2 |
| 2020 | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | 4-2 |
| 2019 | Toronto Raptors | Golden State Warriors | 4-2 |
| 2018 | Golden State Warrirors | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4-0 |
| 2017 | Golden State Warriors | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4-1 |
| 2016 | Cleveland Cavaliers | Golden State Warriors | 4-3 |
| 2015 | Golden State Warriors | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4-2 |
The Western Conference looks just as strong this season. Although the Boston Celtics have the best record in the NBA, the next six teams in the league standings come from the Western Conference. You just have to look at the stats to see why the West has been so strong as the conference boasts 10 of the top 14 highest scoring teams in the NBA.
Regular season success carries over into the playoffs
Earning the No. 1 playoff seed from either conference makes teams an overwhelming favourite to reach the NBA Finals. A No. 1 seed has won over half of all NBA championships (51) and finished runner-up in 38 of 77 NBA Finals’. No. 1-3 seeds have historically dominated when it comes to winning NBA championships, while the 1969 Boston Celtics (4th) and the 1995 Houston Rockets (6th) are the only fourth seed or higher to win the NBA Finals.
| Seed | NBA Champions | Lost NBA Finals | Winnipeg Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51 | 38 | .573 |
| 2 | 16 | 23 | .410 |
| 3 | 8 | 8 | .500 |
| 4 | 1 | 4 | .200 |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| 8 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
The curse of the No. 1 overall seed
For how good No. 1 seeds have historically performed in the playoffs, it comes as a bit of a surprise that the No. 1 overall seed has been bounced within the first two rounds of the playoffs in each of the last four years. The last No. 1 overall seed to win the NBA championship was the 2017 Golden State Warriors.
| Year | No. 1 Overall Seed | Regular Season Record | Winning Percentage | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Boston Celtics | 58-24 | .707 | Lost First Round (Heat) 4-1 |
| 2022 | Phoenix Suns | 64-18 | .683 | Lost Conference Semifinals (Mavericks) 4-3 |
| 2021 | Utah Jazz | 52-20 | .722 | Lost Conference Semifinals (Clippers) 4-2 |
| 2020 | Milwaukee Bucks | 56-17 | .767 | Lost Conference Semifinals (Heat) 4-1 |
| 2019 | Milwaukee Bucks | 60-22 | .732 | Lost Conference Finals (Raptors) 4-2 |
| 2018 | Houston Rockets | 65-17 | .793 | Lost Conference Finals (Warriors) 4-3 |
| 2017 | Golden State Warriors | 67-15 | .817 | Won NBA Finals (Cavaliers) 4-1 |
| 2016 | Golden State Warriors | 73-9 | .890 | Lost NBA Finals (Cavaliers) 4-3 |
| 2015 | Golden State Warriors | 67-15 | .817 | Won NBA Finals (Cavaliers) 4-2 |
| 2014 | San Antonio Spurs | 62-20 | .756 | Won NBA Finals (Heat) 4-1 |
Defence wins championships…right?
One of the most common cliches in sports is the old adage that defence wins championships. While it might be an overused saying, it also not be 100 per cent accurate. Elite level offences have increasingly become more important to winning NBA championships as eight of the last 10 NBA champions have had a top-five offence. The exceptions are the 2022 Golden State Warriors and the 2020 L.A. Lakers, who each had top-three defences to compensate for weaker offences.
| Year | Team | Offence | Defence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Denver Nuggets | 5th | 15th |
| 2022 | Golden State Warriors | 16th | 2nd |
| 2021 | Milwaukee Bucks | 5th | 9th |
| 2020 | Los Angeles Lakers | 11th | 3rd |
| 2019 | Toronto Raptors | 5th | 5th |
| 2018 | Golden State Warriors | 3rd | 11th |
| 2017 | Golden State Warriors | 1st | 2nd |
| 2016 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 3rd | 10th |
| 2015 | Golden State Warriors | 2nd | 1st |
| 2014 | San Antonio Spurs | 5th | 4th |


