The Dallas Mavericks have avoided a sweep against the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference Finals, but the Warriors are 7-point home favourites on the NBA odds for Game 5 back at home Thursday to end the series.

Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Just one note here because I believe this will be the last game of the Western Conference Finals: Golden State will have home-court advantage against either Boston (probably the opponent) or Miami in the NBA Finals. The Warriors finished with the same record as the Heat but swept the regular-season series and finished with a better record than the Celtics. Game 1 of the NBA Finals is June 2, so the Dubs could get plenty of rest with a win Thursday. Steph Curry is currently the -130 favourite to be Finals MVP. Teammate and Toronto native Andrew Wiggins is +3866.

With Golden State up 3-1, the Warriors are -2500 on the updated series line (were -10000) and the Mavericks +861 (were +1199). That it ends Thursday is -345 with Warriors in six at +544, in seven at +692 and Dallas completing the first-ever comeback from 3-0 down win a series at +1532.

Dallas Mavericks

We projected Dallas to win Game 4 because it was probably the team’s final home game of the season and the Warriors had letdowns in similar road situations in Round 1 vs. Denver and Round 2 vs. Memphis. None of the games in this series have been all that competitive and neither was Tuesday’s, which Dallas won 119-109 – although the Mavs did see a 29-point lead cut to single digits fairly late, which forced Coach Jason Kidd to reinsert some of his starters when he was hoping their night was over.

Star Luka Doncic was only 10-for-26 shooting but led his team in scoring (30 points), rebounds (14) and assists (nine). Doncic got some much-needed help from role players like Dorian Finney-Smith with 23 points (nine in Game 3), Reggie Bullock with 18 (zero in Game 3) and Maxi Kleber with 13 (zero in Game 3. Dallas finally shot well from three-point range, hitting 20-for-34, and won the battle of the boards for the first time in the series.

Golden State Warriors

We don’t want to say the Warriors didn’t care about Game 4 with a 3-0 lead, but they looked like they were going through the motions in trailing by 29 after three before making the score respectable. Curry led with 20 points, but no one else had more than 17. It was his 100th career playoff game with at least 20, becoming the 16th player in league history with triple digits.

As we noted above with the Mavs, Golden State had dominated the boards in the first three – and still leads combined 183-143 – but lost that statistic in Game 4. Forward Otto Porter, a key reserve, was out with an injury and it’s not clear if he will play Game 5. Golden State is 8-0 at home in these playoffs, one shy of the franchise-record streak of nine straight home wins in the 2017 postseason. The Dubs finished off the first two series this year at home. They are 12-4 in Game 5s since 2015.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Warriors?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Mavericks Team Leaders

DAL

Points	Luka Doncic 28.42
Assists	Luka Doncic 8.74
Rebounds	Luka Doncic 9.12
FG%	Dwight Powell 67.1
Steals	Luka Doncic 1.15
Blocks	Maxi Kleber 0.98

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 25.47
Assists	Draymond Green 6.96
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.3
FG%	Gary Payton II 61.6
Steals	Gary Payton II 1.35
Blocks	Draymond Green 1.09

DAL

Points	Luka Doncic 31.67
Assists	Luka Doncic 6.4
Rebounds	Luka Doncic 9.8
FG%	Dwight Powell 62.9
Steals	Luka Doncic 1.8
Blocks	Maxi Kleber 0.83

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 27.36
Assists	Draymond Green 6.27
Rebounds	Kevon Looney 7.64
FG%	Gary Payton II 65.9
Steals	Stephen Curry 1.32
Blocks	Andrew Wiggins 1.05

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Warriors Team Leaders

DAL

Points	Luka Doncic 28.42
Assists	Luka Doncic 8.74
Rebounds	Luka Doncic 9.12
FG%	Dwight Powell 67.1
Steals	Luka Doncic 1.15
Blocks	Maxi Kleber 0.98

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 25.47
Assists	Draymond Green 6.96
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.3
FG%	Gary Payton II 61.6
Steals	Gary Payton II 1.35
Blocks	Draymond Green 1.09

DAL

Points	Luka Doncic 31.67
Assists	Luka Doncic 6.4
Rebounds	Luka Doncic 9.8
FG%	Dwight Powell 62.9
Steals	Luka Doncic 1.8
Blocks	Maxi Kleber 0.83

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 27.36
Assists	Draymond Green 6.27
Rebounds	Kevon Looney 7.64
FG%	Gary Payton II 65.9
Steals	Stephen Curry 1.32
Blocks	Andrew Wiggins 1.05

Injuries

Dallas

Reggie Bullock (SG)

Prob Thurs Knee - 11 / 05 / 22

Maxi Kleber (PF)

Ques Wed Neck - 03 / 05 / 22

Sterling Brown (SG)

Prob Sat Illness - 10 / 04 / 22

Frank Ntilikina (PG)

Prob Mon Illness - 09 / 04 / 22

Marquese Chriss (PF)

Prob Sun Illness - 08 / 04 / 22

Maxi Kleber (PF)

Prob Sat Ankle - 02 / 04 / 22

Frank Ntilikina (PG)

Prob Fri Ankle - 30 / 03 / 22

Spencer Dinwiddie (PG)

Out Wed Rest - 30 / 03 / 22

Trey Burke (PG)

Prob Wed Illness - 29 / 03 / 22

Sterling Brown (SG)

Prob Fri Personal - 25 / 03 / 22

Golden State

Otto Porter Jr. (SF)

Ques Thurs Foot - 15 / 06 / 22

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Ques Thurs Knee - 15 / 06 / 22

Otto Porter Jr. (SF)

Prob Mon Foot - 12 / 06 / 22

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Prob Mon Knee - 12 / 06 / 22

Otto Porter Jr. (SF)

Prob Fri Foot - 09 / 06 / 22

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Prob Fri Knee - 09 / 06 / 22

Gary Payton II (PG)

Prob Wed Elbow - 07 / 06 / 22

Otto Porter Jr. (SF)

Prob Wed Foot - 07 / 06 / 22

Gary Payton II (PG)

Prob Sun Elbow - 04 / 06 / 22

Otto Porter Jr. (SF)

Prob Sun Foot - 04 / 06 / 22

Injuries

Dallas

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Reggie Bullock (SG)	Prob Thurs	Knee - 11 / 05 / 22	4-4	3-5	+ -
Bullock is nursing a left knee injury, but it is projected that he will take the court against the Suns in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals.
Maxi Kleber (PF)	Ques Wed	Neck - 03 / 05 / 22	6-6	5-7	+ -
Kleber is dealing with a neck injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Suns in Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals.
Sterling Brown (SG)	Prob Sat	Illness - 10 / 04 / 22	11-8	8-11	+ -
Brown is ailing from a non-COVID illness, but it is projected that he will suit up for Game 1 of the Western Conference first round against the Jazz.
Frank Ntilikina (PG)	Prob Mon	Illness - 09 / 04 / 22	12-8	9-11	+ -
Ntilikina is dealing with a non-COVID illness, but it is likely that he will play in Game 5 of the Western Conference first round versus the Jazz.
Marquese Chriss (PF)	Prob Sun	Illness - 08 / 04 / 22	12-8	9-11	+ -
Chriss was held out of the previous game due to a non-COVID-19 illness, but it is likely that he will be available for Sunday's tilt versus the Spurs.
Maxi Kleber (PF)	Prob Sat	Ankle - 02 / 04 / 22	13-9	11-11	+ -
Kleber is hindered with right ankle soreness, but it is projected that he will suit up for Game 1 of the Western Conference first round against the Jazz.
Frank Ntilikina (PG)	Prob Fri	Ankle - 30 / 03 / 22	15-9	13-11	+ -
Ntilikina sat out the last game due to a sprained right ankle, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Wizards on Friday.
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG)	Out Wed	Rest - 30 / 03 / 22	15-9	13-11	+ -
Dinwiddie will not face the Cavaliers on Wednesday, as he will be given a day of rest.
Trey Burke (PG)	Prob Wed	Illness - 29 / 03 / 22	16-9	13-12	+ -
Burke is in the league's health and safety protocol, but it is likely that he will return for Wednesday's game versus the Pistons.
Sterling Brown (SG)	Prob Fri	Personal - 25 / 03 / 22	17-10	13-14	+ -
Brown missed the last game due to a personal issue, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Trail Blazers on Friday.

Golden State

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Otto Porter Jr. (SF)	Ques Thurs	Foot - 15 / 06 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Porter Jr. has a sore left foot, leaving his availability for Game 6 of the NBA Finals against the Celtics clouded.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Ques Thurs	Knee - 15 / 06 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Iguodala is dealing with inflammation in his right knee, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the court against the Celtics for Game 6 of the NBA Finals.
Otto Porter Jr. (SF)	Prob Mon	Foot - 12 / 06 / 22	2-0	0-2	+ -
Porter Jr. has a sore left foot, and it is not expected to affect his availability for Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Celtics.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Prob Mon	Knee - 12 / 06 / 22	2-0	0-2	+ -
Iguodala is dealing with inflammation in his right knee, but it is likely that he will take the court against the Celtics for Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
Otto Porter Jr. (SF)	Prob Fri	Foot - 09 / 06 / 22	3-1	1-3	+ -
Porter Jr. has a sore left foot, but it is anticipated that he will suit up for Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Celtics.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Prob Fri	Knee - 09 / 06 / 22	3-1	1-3	+ -
Iguodala is dealing with inflammation in his right knee, but it has been determined that he will take the court against the Celtics for Game 4 of the NBA Finals.
Gary Payton II (PG)	Prob Wed	Elbow - 07 / 06 / 22	3-1	1-3	+ -
Payton II is on the mend from a fractured left elbow, but it is anticipated that he will be a participant in Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Celtics.
Otto Porter Jr. (SF)	Prob Wed	Foot - 07 / 06 / 22	3-1	1-3	+ -
Porter Jr. is dealing with left foot soreness, but it is projected that he will suit up for Game 3 of the NBA Finals versus the Celtics.
Gary Payton II (PG)	Prob Sun	Elbow - 04 / 06 / 22	3-2	2-3	+ -
Payton II is on the mend from a fractured left elbow, but it is expected that he will he will be a participant in Game 2 of the NBA Finals against the Celtics.
Otto Porter Jr. (SF)	Prob Sun	Foot - 04 / 06 / 22	3-2	2-3	+ -
Porter Jr. is dealing with a sore left foot, but it is anticipated that he will dress for Game 2 of the NBA Finals versus the Celtics.