Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 15, 2024

Syndication: The Oklahoman

The winner of the thrilling Mavericks vs. Thunder second-round series will come down to a best-of-three that begins Wednesday night in Oklahoma City.

May 15, 2024, 9:30 PM ET
Chesapeake Energy Arena
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +155
Over / Under o +213.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -190
Over / Under u +213.5


Betting Action


Game 4 saw the Thunder steal one back on the road, as they stormed back with a 35-point fourth quarter. After four games, both teams have a home and away win. This series has exactly followed Dallas’ first-round series, which they went on to win Game 5 and Game 6.

OKC’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is earning his superstar status this round. The 25-year-old Canadian has led the Thunder in scoring in every game this series and is coming off a playoff-best 34 points in Game 4. A hurt Luka Doncic for Dallas isn’t doing so hot. Doncic Is averaging 22 points a game this series but had 40 points combined in Dallas’ two home games, most recently going six for 20 from the field.

Tip-off for Game 5 at Paycom Center Wednesday goes at 9:30 p.m. EDT with the Thunder -4.5 on the point spread and -175 on the moneyline. The total is 212.5 on the NBA odds.

Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA Betting Odds

The under hit for the third time in four games this series and has improved to 6-2 in the playoffs for the Thunder. Over their eight playoff games, OKC’s now held their opponent to under 100 points six times and are 6-0 in those games. OKC is 0-2 when their opponent scores over 100.

After splitting the first four games —and OKC winning the most recent one — the Thunder are back near the top of the board to win the NBA championship at +850 odds. OKC is now -155 to win this series. When it comes to series outcomes, Dallas in six has the longest odds at +375.

Dallas Mavericks

While Doncic being hurt, to go with a lacklustre second-round performance from Kyrie Irving, are two easy excuses to how this series got back even after Game 4, at the same time Dallas could’ve made five more free throws and the narrative would be a 3-1 Mavericks series lead over the top seed in the West. Instead, Dallas shot 12 for 23 from the charity stripe and here we are heading tied into Game 5. Donic hit four of his six free throws and was the only Mavs player to shoot above 50 per cent from the line in Game 4.

But Doncic had a rough night overall and finished with just 18 points. P.J. Washington led Dallas in scoring for the third straight game, which is concerning for a team with Doncic and Irving — especially when the game-high in Game 4 was 21 from Washington.

Oklahoma City Thunder

After scoring 65 points through three quarters in Game 4, something had to change or else it would’ve been big trouble for the Thunder. After being led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder managed to score 35 in the final quarter and get a much-needed road win. Gilgeous-Alexander had a series-high 34 points and did all his scoring without making a three (and only attempting one). Holmgren knocked down a clutch three and finished with 18 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks — series highs for the latter two categories.

OKC’s magic formula in the playoffs is to play to 100 — which speaks more to their defence. Lu Dort is often the unsung hero for the Thunder and the elite defender is just as advertised this series, seeing a heavy load of Doncic.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5?

NBA Predictions