Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 5 Prediction, NBA Finals Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated Jun 16, 2024

NBA: Finals-Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks staved off elimination in Game 4 of the NBA Finals and could really make things interesting with another win on Monday night. The Celtics lead the series 3-1.

June 17, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Pointspread +6.5 -105
Moneyline +225
Over / Under o +211.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -6.5 -115
Moneyline -275
Over / Under u +211.5


Betting Action


There is still blood pumping in these NBA Finals. If Friday’s Game 4 was anything to go by, the Dallas Mavericks gave this ultimate series a considerable shot in the arm. After a trio of second-best performances versus the Boston Celtics, the Mavs brook out the boom stick for a 122-84 demolishing. No team has ever come back from a 3-0 playoff series deficit, but that’s one way of starting the task.

The NBA Finals odds envision the Celtics putting their seal on a championship run in Game 5, pegging them as -6.5 favourites.

Mavericks vs. Celtics NBA Finals Betting Odds

Boston has been in a similar situation twice already during this postseason run. In both Round 1 and Round 2 they returned to TD Garden with 3-1 series leads and closed things out with easy victories. Then again, in each of those aforementioned rounds, the opponents were not quite as good and key players had to sit out. Dallas is healthy and suddenly has momentum. Let the psychological games begin.

In contrast, Dallas has not been in this situation. Their first and second rounds were tied 2-2 at this point, and in the Western Conference Finals they headed to Minnesota up 3-1. For those who want to live large, the Mavericks are priced at +1300 to win the Finals. It’s steep, but with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, one never knows.

Interestingly, a Boston win in six games is pegged at +525, which doesn’t sound as far-fetched as one might think given that it’s 3-1 with Game 5 at home.

Dallas Mavericks

Something had to give. Literally. Had nothing gave, we would be looking ahead to the NBA offseason by now. What a performance on Friday night.

The 122-84 win in Game 4 had an aura of catharsis about it. All the criticisms of Luka’s play and attitude, Dereck Lively’s relative ineffectiveness in the series, Kyrie’s struggles, the missed opportunities at rebounding, the average shooting overall, all those issues disappeared. The Mavericks dominated the match like they had dominated few contests all season. They shot 50.3 per cent overall, 40.5 per beyond the arc, out-rebounded the Celtics by an incredible 52-31, had seven steals, and outscored their opponents in the paint by a dumbfounding 60-26.

It sounds ridiculous but this game was truly over by the end of the first quarter. Dallas was hungry, concentrated, mature, and desperate. Even Derrick Jones Jr. got in on the action with a Kyrie-esque layup in traffic. Now the question is can that performance travel to Boston?

Boston Celtics

When nights like Game 4 happen, one ponders esoteric questions. If one is up 3-0 in an NBA Finals and is not going to sweep the opponent, is it “better” to lose a close one, which can be frustrating, or to simply get blown off the court and forget about it?

Only the Celtics can answer that question with how they respond on Monday night. The Game 4 performance was so poor that head coach Joe Mazzulla waved the white flag before the third period was over, allowing the bench to play out the rest of the contest. Consider these plus-minus stats: Jrue Holiday was minus-38 and Jayson Tatum was minus-33. Al Horford finished with the best number of all five starters and was a minus-18! Sam Hauser came off the bench and somehow finished minus-20.

Again, it’s difficult to ascertain what happened in Game 4. Are the Celtics so good that they won’t be bothered and take care of business in Game 5 or is there a problem with a group that, to be fair, has yet to get over the hump and whose championship credentials are annually questioned? Stay tuned on Monday night.

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