Nuggets vs. Jazz Game 5 Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Jeremy Perry | Updated Aug 25, 2020

Denver Nuggets, 2020

The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 125 points or more. They hope to extend the series with a win in game five.

Utah
44-28
AT
August 25, 2020, 6:30 PM ET
HP Field House
Denver
46-27
Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -145
Over / Under o +220.5

69%

Betting Action

31%

Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +121
Over / Under u +220.5

69%

Betting Action

31%

The Denver Nuggets continues to be miserable at the defensive end in this series. They have dropped their last three matchups against the Utah Jazz, again giving up at least 124 points. That now marks the ninth time in 10 games that they’ve allowed at least that many. The Nuggets now trail 3-1 in a series in which they have zero momentum. The Jazz have heated up and it will hard for Denver to stop their season from coming to an end.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 125 points or more. They have also covered five of the last seven meetings between the teams.

Meanwhile, the Jazz don’t thrive as a favorite as they are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite. They are also 1-4 ATS after allowing 125 points or more and 2-7 ATS in their last nine against winning teams. However, they have covered eight of their last 10 on Tuesday.

Utah Jazz

There are not many negatives to point out about how the Jazz have been playing in their last three games. They were able to win Game 4 by two points and had great offensive games out of Donovan Mitchell who scored 51 points and Mike Conley who scored 26 points. The Jazz also got a double-double from Rudy Gobert as he finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds. To further prove how dominant, they have been offensively so far, their starting small forward, Joe Ingles, didn’t even score a point in Game 4 and yet they still put up 129 points on Denver.

The Jazz continue to be the better team in this series and will have all of the momentum moving forward in order to close this series in Game 5. They now have the mental edge as the Nuggets are trying to figure out how to win. They got 51 points from Jamal Murray and it still wasn’t good enough. Denver even out-rebounded them 40-37, including 17 offensive rebounds, and they still lost. What if those things don’t go their way in Game 5?

Denver Nuggets

While the Nuggets improved offensively in Game 4, they were awful again defensively. Rim protection and pick and roll defense are two incredibly valuable things that every team needs in today’s NBA and the Nuggets have been unable to find either of those things so far in this series. Utah runs the pick-and-roll almost every possession with hardly any resistance and to make matters worse, Jokic has not defended the rim very well at all, recording only two blocked shots this series.

Their offense should be up and running again in Game 5 but if they are unable to make adjustments to their defense, this game may not be competitive. The Nuggets allowed Utah to shoot 57.5% from the field and 48.3% from three. The issue is that it’s not a one-game one-off as the whole series has been line this.

Who Will Win Jazz vs. Nuggets?

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