Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds, Point Spread

Charlie Grant | Updated Sep 15, 2020

heat celtics

The Heat and Celtics played just three times during the regular season with the C’s winning and covering in two of the three matchups.

September 15, 2020, 6:30 PM ET
HP Field House
Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline -103
Over / Under o +208.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -117
Over / Under u +208.5


Betting Action


It’s an Eastern Conference final few would have predicted but it promises to be an extremely fun matchup between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Betting shops like Sports Interaction see this series as a near coin toss. The Celtics are small faves to win the series and slight chalk in Game 1 on Tuesday.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

There may not be a better story in the bubble than the Miami Heat. South Florida basketball fans saw their team with NBA odds as long as +8000 to win the NBA title at the start of the season. That means a $100 wager would win $8000 if the Heat were to win the championship. 

That longshot bet is looking pretty good these days. Miami finds itself in the NBA’s final four thanks to its improbable defeat of the Milwaukee Bucks in the second round of the playoffs. The Bucks struggled to regain their form in the restart, but they were still heavy favourites to beat the Heat.

Jimmy Butler and Co. jumped out to a 3-0 series lead and finished Giannis and the Bucks off in five games. The next test comes against a Boston side that just took down the defending NBA champion Toronto Raptors. 

The Heat and Celtics played just three times during the regular season with the C’s winning and covering in two of the three matchups. Miami won and covered in the last meeting – the only game of the three that happened in the bubble. The Heat are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall.

The Celtics haven’t been quite as dominant on the spread, but they have been making money for Under bettors. The club has finished below the total in eight of its last nine games.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler is not the type of player who struggles to find extra ways to motivate himself. Even if he didn’t, he wouldn’t have to think long to come up with a reason to feel slighted by Danny Ainge and the Celtics.

For years, C’s sat on a treasure trove of draft picks that were the envy of general managers around the league. Jimmy Butler was extremely available during that time and was traded twice to other teams. Boston essentially passed multiple times on opportunities to acquire Butler.

Boston Celtics

Gordon Hayward was often compared to Jimmy Butler during his best years in Utah. Boston decided to go after Hayward instead and signed him to a big-money deal in the summer of 2017. 

Hayward has been injured for most of his three years in Beantown. He suffered a bad ankle sprain in the first game of this year’s playoffs and hasn’t played since. He’s likely to return to the active roster sometime during this series, but is ruled out for Game 1.

Who Will Win Heat vs. Celtics?

NBA Predictions