Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 6 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 27, 2022

The Boston Celtics are one win away from the NBA Finals as they head home to host the Miami Heat for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Friday.

Miami
53-29
AT
May 27, 2022, 8:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Boston
51-31
Pointspread +8.5 -115
Moneyline +288
Over / Under o +202

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread -8.5 -105
Moneyline -351
Over / Under u +202

58%

Betting Action

42%

The Golden State Warriors are officially locked in as the Western Conference champions, but it’s still a battle to see who they will face in the NBA Finals.  Boston and Miami are vying for the chance to battle the Warriors, with the Celtics leading the East Finals three games to two following a 93-80 Game 5 win on Wednesday.  Can Boston get the job done when the series shifts back home to TD Garden on Friday, or does Miami have what it takes to force a Game 7?

The Celtics are 8.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 201.0.

Heat vs. Celtics NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

There hasn’t been much late-game drama in this series, with all five games essentially over by the start of the fourth quarter.  The Over/Under has split evenly in eight total meetings between the teams this year, regular season and playoffs combined.  The total went Over in the first three games of this series before going Under in Games 4 and 5.

Miami was able to get a crucial split in Boston this series, winning Game 3 on the road, although they were blown out in Game 4.  They’ve leaned towards lower scoring games in the postseason, with the total going Under in 11 of 16 playoff games this year.  The Heat currently sit as +590 series underdogs.

The Celtics have been solid at home, winning 13 of their last 18 games at TD Garden.  They’ve been a good cover option as well, going 15-5 against the spread in their last 20 games.  Boston is now a heavy -1250 favourite to win the series.

Miami Heat

Miami struggled shooting the ball again in Game 5, shooting just 32 per cent in the game after shooting 33 per cent in Game 4.  Only four Heat players hit double-digit points on Wednesday, led by Bam Adebayo with 18 points and 10 rebounds.  Gabe Vincent added 15 points, Jimmy Butler had 13 and Duncan Robinson chipped in 11.  Tyler Herro missed the game with a groin injury and is just one of several Miami players playing banged up.  Butler (knee), Kyle Lowry (hamstring), Max Strus (hamstring) and P.J. Tucker (knee) are all dealing with injuries.

The Heat finished 7 for 45 from three-point range on Wednesday.  The duo of Strus and Lowry struggled heavily.  Strus shot 0 for 9 and Lowry was 0 for 6 in Game 5, the worst playoff performance from a starting backcourt since the NBA started tracking starters in 1970.  The two guards are a combined 1 for 28 in their last two games.

Boston Celtics

It was once again the star duo of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum leading the charge for Boston in Game 5.  Brown finished with a game-high 25 points, while Tatum added 22 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists.  Al Horford had 16 points and Derrick White put up 14.  Leading by just one point in the second half, the Celtics went on 24-2 run in a 6.5 minute stretch that all but ended the game.  They outscored Miami 32-16 in the third quarter, holding the Heat to just 17 per cent shooting.

One concern is the injury status of Marcus Smart.  The Defensive Player of the Year is playing through a sprained ankle and struggled with just five points on Wednesday.  The upside is that Robert Williams III looks healthy after dealing with knee soreness following reconstructive knee surgery.  Both players are listed as questionable for Game 6.  Williams is expected to play, while Smart will likely test his ankle out pregame.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Heat vs. Celtics?

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