Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 23, 2022

The Celtics and Heat are both banged up as they head to TD Garden in Boston for Game 4 on Monday.

May 23, 2022, 8:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Pointspread +6.5 -116
Moneyline +204
Over / Under o +205.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -6.5 -104
Moneyline -246
Over / Under u +205.5


Betting Action


Following a blowout loss in Game 2, the Miami Heat retook home-court advantage with a 109-103 win in Game 3 on Saturday.  Now the Heat have a chance for a 3-1 series stranglehold when they face the Celtics at TD Garden for Game 4 on Monday.

Boston is a 6-point favourite to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 208.0.

Heat vs. Celtics NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Miami is 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their last five games.  The total has gone Over in four of their last six games, including all three games of this series.  The Heat are slim -130 favourites to win the series.  Their favoured method of victory is to win in seven games at +267.

The Celtics have been solid at home, winning 12 of their last 15 games at TD Garden.  They’re another high scoring team, with the total going Over in five of their last seven games.  It’s also worth noting that they’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.  Boston is a -101 underdog on the series line.  Their favoured method of victory is to win in six games at +281.

Miami Heat

A word of warning for this game, make sure to keep a close eye on the lineup closer to tip-off.  Miami is in serious injury trouble, with Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, P.J. Tucker, Tyler Herro and Max Strus all listed as questionable for Game 4.  Butler was held to eight points on Saturday and sat out the entire second half with knee soreness, while Herro missed the final eight minutes with a quad injury and had eight points.  Lowry scored 11 points and saw 29 minutes of action after missing eight of the previous 10 games with a hamstring injury.  Tucker (knee) and Strus (hamstring) started Game 3 after being listed as game-time decisions and should be good to go for Game 4.

Bam Adebayo stepped up on Saturday in the midst of all the injury issues, finishing with a team-high 31 points and 10 rebounds.  Adebayo had four of the Heat’s playoff franchise record 19 steals as Miami built a 26-point first half lead.  The Heat picked up 33 points off 24 forced turnovers and their bench outscored Boston’s bench 26-16.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics are also dealing with major injury concerns, with Jayson Tatum, Marcus Smart and Robert Williams III all questionable for Game 4.  Tatum, who finished Game 3 with 10 points, suffered a shoulder injury, but he is expected to be ready for Game 4.  Smart, the Defensive Player of the Year, finished Game 3 with 16 points, but he rolled his ankle and it’s uncertain how severe the injury is.  Williams’ status is also uncertain after missing Game 3 with knee soreness.  He also missed three games in the second-round with soreness in his surgically repaired left knee.

Jaylen Brown led the way for Boston on Saturday, finishing with a game-high 40 points and nine rebounds.  Al Horford added 20 points and 14 boards.  The Celtics never had a lead in the game, but they managed to cut the deficit to one point late in the fourth quarter.  Tatum and Brown combined to commit 13 of Boston’s playoff-high 24 turnovers.  Another big factor in the loss was the Celtics attempting 22 less field goals than Miami.

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