Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 3 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 21, 2022

The Boston Celtics tied their Eastern Conference Finals series against the Miami Heat at one game apiece on Thursday, but can they take the lead when they head back to TD Garden for Game 3 on Saturday?

Miami
53-29
AT
May 21, 2022, 8:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Boston
51-31
Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +193
Over / Under o +207.5

45%

Betting Action

55%

Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -232
Over / Under u +207.5

45%

Betting Action

55%

After splitting the first two games of their Eastern Conference Finals series against the Miami Heat, the Boston Celtics are headed back home for Game 3 on Saturday night.  The Celtics dropped Game 1 in Miami before answering back with a 127-102 Game 2 blowout victory on Thursday.

Boston is a 6.5-point favourite to win Game 3, while the total is set at 207.5 on the NBA odds.

Heat vs. Celtics NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Miami’s Game 2 loss dropped them to 15-5 straight up and 14-6 against the spread across their last 20 games.  It was also a rare high scoring contest as the total has gone Under in nine of their last 13 games overall, including four of their last five on the road.  The Heat now sit as +190 series underdogs, after opening Game 1 at +135 on the series line.

The Celtics’ big bounce-back performance in Game 2 was their eighth win in their last 10 games against Southeast Division teams.  It continued a trend that has seen the total go Over in nine of their last 13 games against Miami, although it’s worth noting the total has gone Under in four of Boston’s last five home games.  The Celtics have climbed to -263 series favourites after entering Game 1 at -167.

The favoured exact series result is for Boston to win in six games at +196.  The biggest long shot is Miami winning in five games at +1421.

Miami Heat

The Heat came out strong to start Game 2, taking a 10-point lead in the opening minutes, but they ultimately faltered and eventually suffered their largest loss of the postseason.  It was Miami’s first home-court loss of these playoffs and the highest point total they’ve allowed since Feb. 26.  Jimmy Butler once again led the way offensively, finishing with a game-high 29 points.  Victor Oladipo and Gabe Vincent each added 14 points, while Tyler Herro finished with just 11.  The Heat shot 44.2 per cent from the field and only made it to the free throw line 22 times in Game 2, after shooting nearly 50 per cent from the field and getting to the free throw line 34 times in Game 1.

Kyle Lowry (hamstring) and P.J. Tucker (knee) are both listed as questionable for Game 3.  Lowry has missed eight of the last 10 games and hasn’t played since Game 4 of the second-round.  Tucker had Miami’s first five points in Game 2, but those were his only points of the night and he eventually left in the third quarter with a knee contusion.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics needed a wakeup call early in Game 2 after trailing by 10 points in the opening minutes, but they answered that call and then some.  Boston had a 25-point lead at halftime and led by as much as 34 points in the fourth quarter.  Jayson Tatum led the team with 27 points and also added five rebounds and five assists.  Jaylen Brown finished with 24 points and eight rebounds, while Marcus Smart added 24 points, 12 assists and nine boards.  The Celtics built a big offensive lead by shooting 20-for-40 from three-point range and forcing 14 Miami turnovers.  Boston is now 4-0 in these playoffs following a loss.

Smart (mid-foot sprain) and Al Horford (COVID protocols) were cleared to play just before tip-off of Game 2.  Nik Stauskas (leg) Derrick White (personal) are listed as probable for Game 3.

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