Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, NBA Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 12, 2022

The Miami Heat aim to close out their NBA second-round playoff series with the Philadelphia 76ers when they hit the hardwood for Game 6 on Thursday night.

May 12, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
Pointspread +2.5 -115
Moneyline +112
Over / Under o +206


Betting Action


Pointspread -2.5 -105
Moneyline -135
Over / Under u +206


Betting Action


The Heat romped to a 120-85 win in Game 5 to reclaim a 3-2 series lead, but have claimed victory in just one of their past five road contests. The 76ers’ Game 5 defeat marks the club’s worst playoff loss in three years. However, they have claimed victory in seven of eight home contests, and are unbeaten in their past three Game 6 appearances on home court.

The 76ers have held steady since opening as 2.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds. However, with the support of a slim 51 per cent majority of sports bettors, it is the Heat who sport -114 odds of covering that spread. Miami also leads the way on the NBA playoff series prices as strengthening -400 chalk, while the Sixers lag as +300 longshots to overcome a 3-2 series deficit for the first time since 2001. The total has held steady since opening at 207.0. However, the OVER has attracted 87 per cent of the betting action.

Heat vs. 76ers NBA Betting Odds

Thursday night’s matchup at Wells Fargo Center marks the 10th overall meeting of the season between these clubs. Miami has won five of their previous nine dates, but is winless in four visits to Philadelphia. The Heat are also winless against the spread in three road dates with the Sixers, and have lost outright in 10 of 13 when visiting Philly as betting underdogs. The UNDER has paid out in three of the first five games of the series, and in nine of 12 overall clashes. However, OVER bettors have cashed in two of their past three meetings at Wells Fargo Center.

The Heat are a reliable 16-5 in their past 21 when poised to clinch a playoff series victory, and are 5-1 in their past six Game 6 appearances. However, they are just 2-9 in 11 road contests played immediately following a home win. The Sixers enjoy a 5-0 run in Game 6 appearances, but have followed up with Game 7 losses on three occasions over that stretch.

Miami Heat

After missing Game 5 due to a nagging hamstring injury, Kyle Lowry will once again be sidelined for Game 6. Tyler Herro was limited to just 22 minutes of action in Game 5, and is listed as questionable as he continues to nurse an ankle injury. Max Strus is also listed as questionable with a hamstring injury after turning in a steady 19-point, 10-rebound performance in Game 5. The status of PJ Tucker and Caleb Martin also remains uncertain.

Philadelphia 76ers

In the wake of Tuesday’s defeat, Joel Embiid admitted that he is playing through the pain of an orbital fracture suffered in the Sixers’ first round series-clinching win over Toronto. The target of an aggressive Heat defence, Embiid was limited to 17 points and five boards in Game 5, but has averaged 26.4 points and 13.4 boards over his past eight home appearances. Miami also needs James Harden to return to the sensational form he flashed in Game 4. The Beard took a step back in Game 5, scoring just 14 points on 5-for-13 shooting. Since acquiring Harden, the Sixers have gone just 6-9 when he scores 20 or fewer points.

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