Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 08, 2022

The Philadelphia 76ers will be aiming to pull even in their second round NBA playoff series with the top-seeded Miami Heat when they hit the court for Game 4 on Sunday night.

May 08, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
Pointspread +2.5 -113
Moneyline +118
Over / Under o +208.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -2.5 -107
Moneyline -142
Over / Under u +208.5


Betting Action


With Joel Embiid returning to the lineup, the Sixers earned their first win of the series on Friday night, knocking off Miami 99-79 to cut the Heat’s series lead to 2-1. The win is just the second in six contests for Philadelphia, while Friday’s defeat snapped the Heat’s four-game overall win streak, and marked their third loss in four road contests.

After covering as 1-point favourites in Game 3, the Sixers return to action on Sunday pegged as 2-point chalk on the NBA odds, but enjoy the support of just 49 per cent of sports bettors. Philadelphia has also made gains on the NBA playoff series prices in the wake of Friday’s win, but continue to lag as a +280 longshot. The Heat return to action as +110 road underdogs on the moneyline, and maintain lofty -370 odds on the series prices. The total has held steady since opening at 207.5, with the UNDER attracting 61 per cent of the betting action.

Heat vs. 76ers NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Sunday night’s matchup at Wells Fargo Center marks the eighth overall meeting of the season between these clubs. The Heat hold the edge head-to-head, winning three of this season’s seven dates, and have suffered consecutive losses just once while topping the 76ers in nine of their past 15 clashes. Low scoring has been commonplace when these teams meet, with the UNDER prevailing in six of their past eight. However, the OVER has paid out in six of their past eight matchups in Philadelphia.

The Heat have claimed victory in six of their past eight Game 4 appearances on the road. But apart from their success during the NBA’s bubble playoffs in 2020, they have struggled in postseason contests on the road, winning just five of their past 20. The Sixers have now won six of their past seven overall home dates, and have limited opponents to just 97.5 points per game while going 3-1 at home in their playoffs. However, Philly has been far from dominant on offence, scoring 104 or fewer points in six of their past seven contests.

Miami Heat

The Heat are coming off their worst offensive performance since dropping a 95-78 decision to Boston on Nov. 4. After averaging 23.5 points and 10.5 rebounds through the fist two games of the series, big man Bam Adebayo was limited to just nine points on 2-for-9 shooting and three boards in Game 3. However, Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro remained steady, combining to score 47 of the team’s 79 points. Kyle Lowry went pointless in his return from a hamstring injury, and is once again listed as questionable for Game 4.

Philadelphia 76ers

Embiid had an instant impact on the 76ers’ fortunes in his return to action after missing Games 1 and 2 due to an orbital fracture and concussion. “The Process” racked up his sixth double-double of the postseason with 18 points and 11 boards, and has averaged 22.3 points and 13 rebounds in four appearances versus Miami this season. However, the Sixers bench contributed just 13 points in Game 3, and has averaged just 17 points per game over the past five contests.

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