Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Game 1 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 01, 2022

The NBA Finals kicks off Thursday in Golden State with the Warriors hosting the Boston Celtics for Game 1.

Boston
51-31
AT
June 02, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
Chase Center
Golden State
53-29
Pointspread +3.5 -102
Moneyline +150
Over / Under o +214

28%

Betting Action

72%

Pointspread -3.5 -118
Moneyline -180
Over / Under u +214

28%

Betting Action

72%

It’s East versus West as the NBA Finals is locked in with the Boston Celtics facing the Golden State Warriors.  Golden State will host Game 1 on Thursday, a week after dispatching Dallas in five games to win the Western Conference championship.  The Celtics won the Eastern Conference championship on Sunday in a tight seven-game series against Miami.

The Warriors are 3.5-point favourites to win Game 1, while the total is 212.5 on the NBA odds.

Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The road team won both regular season meetings between the teams this year.  Before their home loss in December, Boston had swept the previous two season series’, winning five straight games against Golden State.  Eight of the last 10 games between the teams have gone Under the total, although the Over/Under split equally this season.

The Celtics have been road warriors in the playoffs, winning seven of nine games away from TD Garden.  They’ve also been a great cover option dating back to the regular season, going 12-1 against the spread in their last 13 road games.  Boston enters Game 1 as a +121 series underdog.

Golden State has been lethal at home as they’ve won 11 straight games at Chase Center.  They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six games, but they’ve failed to cover in four of their last five against Eastern Conference opponents.  The Warriors are -161 favourites to win the series.

The favoured exact series score is Golden State winning in seven games at +323.  The biggest long shot is a Celtics sweep at +1380.  The series total is set at 5.5 games with the Over favoured at -208.

Boston Celtics

It’s important to remember that both teams were dealing with injuries in the two regular season games, so they’re not a great example of how this series could play out.  Boston punched their ticket to the NBA Finals largely thanks to the trio of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart.  Through three playoff rounds, Tatum (27.0) and Brown (22.9) are both averaging over 20 points per game, while Smart is third on the team with 15.5 ppg and leads the team with 6.2 assists.  Al Horford and Robert Williams III round out the starting five, while Derrick White has contributed from the bench.  Williams’ health is the main concern as he’s been limited by pain in his surgically repaired left knee.  His rim protection and defensive rebounding will be crucial in shutting down Andrew Wiggins.

White in particular has provided solid depth scoring, averaging 14.3 ppg in the final four games of the conference finals against Miami.  In 188 possessions defending against the Heat’s Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Victor Oladipo and Duncan Robinson, White held the four players to nine total points, forced seven turnovers and had six blocked shots.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors are a modern day dynasty making their sixth trip to the NBA Finals in the last eight years.  There’s three names that have been integral to that success and that’s Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green.  Curry is averaging a team-high 25.9 ppg in the playoffs, while Thompson has 22.9 ppg and each of the Splash Brothers is averaging more than three made three-pointers per game.  Green has scored 10-plus points in five of his last six games and leads the team in assists (6.3) and blocks (1.1).

Wiggins and Jordan Poole have been the X-factors for Golden State.  Shooting 51.9 per cent (14 for 27), Wiggins is one of only four players, and the only one still competing, who has shot better than 50 per cent on mind-range jumpers in these playoffs.  Poole is averaging 18.4 ppg in the playoffs, shooting 53.1 per cent on field goals, 39.3 per cent from beyond the arc and 91.7 per cent from the free throw line.

One injury note for the Warriors concerns the status of Gary Payton II, who will likely be a game-time decision on Thursday.  Payton suffered an elbow fracture in the Western Conference Semifinals against Memphis and missed the rest of that series and the entire Western Conference Finals against Dallas.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Celtics vs. Warriors?

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