Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Game 5 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 25, 2022

The Celtics and Heat have traded wins back-and-forth through four games of the Eastern Conference Finals, a trend Boston will look to snap when they travel to Miami for Game 5 on Wednesday.

Boston
51-31
AT
May 25, 2022, 8:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Miami
53-29
Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -163
Over / Under o +203.5

59%

Betting Action

41%

Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +136
Over / Under u +203.5

59%

Betting Action

41%

The Eastern Conference Finals is down to a best-of-3 following the Boston Celtics’ 102-82 win over the Miami Heat to tie the playoff series at two wins apiece on Monday.  These teams have alternated victories every game this series, with neither team able to hold momentum for consecutive games.  Game 5 will go from Miami on Wednesday night.

The Celtics are 2-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 204.0.

Celtics vs. Heat NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The total has gone Over in 10 of the last 14 meetings between the teams, although Monday was the first time it hit in this playoff series.  A weird stat worth noting is there hasn’t been a lead change in the series since the first quarter of Game 2, so a quick start is essential.

Boston enters Wednesday 14-6 straight up in their last 20 games and 14-5 against the spread in their last 19.  They’ve been able to put points on the board as the total has gone Over in five of their last seven trips to Miami and four of their last five games against Southeast opponents.  The Celtics are -185 favourites to win the series.

The Heat will be glad to return home where they’ve won 10 of their last 11 games, although that one loss did occur against Boston in Game 2.  They’ve leaned more towards low scoring games lately, with the total going Under in 10 of their last 15 contests.  Miami now sits as a +138 series underdog.

This tight series sports identical -115 odds to end in either six or seven games.  The favoured exact series result is Boston winning in six games at +151.  The biggest long shot is Miami in six at +523.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics will try to buck the trend of this back-and-forth series and get a second straight win on Wednesday.  Jayson Tatum led the charge in Game 4, finishing with a game-high 31 points and eight rebounds.  Boston jumped out to an early 18-1 lead and never looked back, extending their record to a perfect 5-0 following a loss in these playoffs.  Payton Pritchard put up 14 points for the Celtics, while Derrick White had 13 points and Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams III each had 12.

Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart missed the game after suffering a sprained ankle in the second half of Game 3.  Smart is listed as questionable for Game 5, but with two extra days to let the swelling in his ankle go down, there’s a legitimate chance he suits up.

Miami Heat

Miami had a brutal start in Game 4, missing 15 of their first 16 shots as the game was all but over after the first 12 minutes.  The Heat trailed by 27 points in the second quarter and by 32 in the third.  That was par for the course in this series as each game has featured a lead of at least 20 points and none have been close down the stretch.  Victor Oladipo led all Miami scorers with 23 points.  The starting five of Jimmy Butler (six points), Kyle Lowry (three points), P.J. Tucker (no points), Max Strus (no points) and Bam Adebayo (nine points) combined to shoot just 7 of 36.  All five sat in the fourth quarter.

Injuries have been a big factor as Butler (right knee swelling), Lowry (strained left hamstring), Strus (strained hamstring) and Tucker (left knee irritation) were all listed as questionable prior to Game 4.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?

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