Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 6 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 13, 2022

The Milwaukee Bucks have a chance to reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the third time in the last four years when they host the Boston Celtics on Friday.

Boston
51-31
AT
May 13, 2022, 7:30 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee
51-31
Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +212.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -127
Over / Under u +212.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

The Boston Celtics are in a tough spot on Friday as they hit the road and travel to Milwaukee for Game 6, trailing 3-2 in their second-round playoff series against the Bucks.  Milwaukee has a chance to punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals following a 110-107 win in Boston on Wednesday.

The Bucks are 1.5-point favourites to win Game 6 on the NBA odds, with a total of 210.5.

Celtics vs. Bucks NBA Betting Odds

All the trends point towards the Celtics covering this game as they’re 8-0 against the spread in their last eight road games, 6-0 ATS in their last six games in Milwaukee and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall against the Bucks.  The total has gone Over in 10 of the last 14 head-to-heads between these teams.  Boston now sits as a +219 underdog to win the series.

It’s been a struggle to cover at home for Milwaukee as they’re just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games at Fiserv Forum.  It’s also worth noting that eight of their last 10 games have gone Under, including the first three games of this playoff series.  The Bucks are -278 series favourites.

Boston Celtics

Boston looked well on their way to taking the series lead in Game 5 before suffering an epic collapse in the fourth quarter.  The Celtics led by 14 points early in the final period before Milwaukee finally took the lead in the final minute and completed the comeback.  It was Boston’s biggest blown lead in the playoffs in more than 25 years.  Jayson Tatum led the team with 34 points, while Jaylen Brown had 26.  Defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart finished with 15 points and was completely shut down on the Celtics’ final two possessions.

A major reason for the late collapse in Game 5 was turning the ball over as eight of Boston’s 10 turnovers in the game came in the second half.  They also only managed five offensive rebounds compared to Milwaukee’s 17.  The Celtics were clearly hurting in the absence of big man Robert Williams III, who missed a second straight game, and fourth in this postseason, because of left knee soreness.  Williams tore his meniscus on March 27 and eventually missed about a month after undergoing surgery.  He is listed as questionable for Game 6.

Milwaukee Bucks

Jrue Holiday came up clutch for Milwaukee in Game 5, snuffing Boston’s Smart on the Celtics’ final two possessions.  Holiday also hit the tying three with 43 seconds left in the fourth quarter and finished the game with 24 points, eight rebounds and eight assists.  Giannis Antetokounmpo led all scorers with 40 points and added 11 rebounds.  Bobby Portis had 14 points and 15 boards.  Portis was a big reason why the Bucks outrebounded Boston 49-36 overall, including 17-5 offensively.

In the absence of Khris Middleton, Holiday’s performance has been instrumental for Milwaukee.  Holiday is averaging 21.8 points per game against the Celtics, which is over five points more than he averaged in the first round.  He’s also picking up seven rebounds and 2.4 steals per contest.  Middleton, on the other hand, hasn’t played since suffering a Grade 2 MCL sprain Game 2 of the first-round and it’s very unlikely he’ll play before the Eastern Conference Finals.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Celtics vs. Bucks?

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