The Milwaukee Bucks have just five games left in their regular season and the next one on deck is a Monday night visit to the San Antonio Spurs. The Bucks are on a roll right now as they’ve won five straight and 11 of their last 15 contests. Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs are fading at the wrong time, clinging to the 10th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Bucks are a big road favourite in this spot, but can they take care of business and cover? Let’s take a closer look.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bucks are 43-20 straight up as a favourite this season, but they are just 31-32 against the spread in those games. They are 19-12 SU as a road favourite, but only 14-17 ATS.

The Spurs are a miserable home team as they are just 13-20 at the AT&T Center. They’ve been a home underdog 14 times this season and while they are 5-9 straight up, they are 7-7 against the spread.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have been playing well as the season winds down and it’s in their best interest to keep it going. Entering Sunday’s action, they were a half-game back of the Brooklyn Nets for the second seed in the conference and 3.5 games back of the East-leading Philadelphia 76ers. They’re not likely to catch the 76ers but finishing above the Nets – the team that’s favoured to win the Eastern Conference – could be important in the playoffs.

The Bucks have been on a tear as of late but they can always throw up a stinker at any point. As mentioned, they’ve won 11 of 15 but two of the losses were to the Memphis Grizzlies and Houston Rockets. This team is 24-10 at home but is far more vulnerable on the road at 19-14.

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs are playing some of their worst basketball of the year right now. Currently, they sit in 10th place in the standings and in previous years, they wouldn’t be in playoff consideration. However, with the new play-in format, they’ll still have a chance – if they can cling to their final spot. It won’t be easy as their remaining five games are all against teams that are going to the playoffs, including the Bucks, Phoenix Suns (twice), Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks.

The Spurs offence is nowhere to be found these days as they’re averaging just 102 points per game over their last four. This isn’t something new as they rank 21st in the NBA in points per game at 110.7. It’s clearly visible that they have dropped well below that. There just isn’t enough star power on this team as DeMar DeRozan leads the way with 21.4 points per game.

There are eight players who score in double-figures but nobody that consistently threatens an opposing defence. They’ll have a tough time against a Bucks defence that is fifth in the NBA in opponent field goal percentage.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Bucks vs. Spurs?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Bucks Team Leaders

MIL

Points	Giannis Antetokounmpo 28.15
Assists	Jrue Holiday 6.05
Rebounds	Giannis Antetokounmpo 11
FG%	Rodions Kurucs 62.5
Steals	Jrue Holiday 1.63
Blocks	Brook Lopez 1.47

SA

Points	DeMar DeRozan 21.57
Assists	DeMar DeRozan 6.92
Rebounds	Jakob Poeltl 7.93
FG%	Jakob Poeltl 61.6
Steals	Dejounte Murray 1.51
Blocks	Jakob Poeltl 1.78

MIL

Points	Giannis Antetokounmpo 30.19
Assists	Jrue Holiday 8.65
Rebounds	Giannis Antetokounmpo 12.81
FG%	Justin Jackson 60
Steals	Jrue Holiday 1.65
Blocks	Brook Lopez 1.48

SA

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Spurs Team Leaders

MIL

Points	Giannis Antetokounmpo 28.15
Assists	Jrue Holiday 6.05
Rebounds	Giannis Antetokounmpo 11
FG%	Rodions Kurucs 62.5
Steals	Jrue Holiday 1.63
Blocks	Brook Lopez 1.47

SA

Points	DeMar DeRozan 21.57
Assists	DeMar DeRozan 6.92
Rebounds	Jakob Poeltl 7.93
FG%	Jakob Poeltl 61.6
Steals	Dejounte Murray 1.51
Blocks	Jakob Poeltl 1.78

MIL

Points	Giannis Antetokounmpo 30.19
Assists	Jrue Holiday 8.65
Rebounds	Giannis Antetokounmpo 12.81
FG%	Justin Jackson 60
Steals	Jrue Holiday 1.65
Blocks	Brook Lopez 1.48

SA

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

Injuries

Milwaukee

Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)

Out indefinitely Illness - 17 / 07 / 21

Sam Merrill (PG)

Ques Tues Ankle - 17 / 07 / 21

Sam Merrill (PG)

Ques Sun Ankle - 09 / 06 / 21

Jordan Nwora (PF)

Ques Fri Thigh - 07 / 06 / 21

Donte DiVincenzo (SG)

out for season Foot - 28 / 05 / 21

Jeff Teague (PG)

Ques Thurs Knee - 21 / 05 / 21

Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)

Mid June Knee - 17 / 05 / 21

Khris Middleton (SF)

Ques Sat Ankle - 16 / 05 / 21

P.J. Tucker (SF)

Prob Fri Neck - 06 / 05 / 21

Khris Middleton (SF)

Prob Fri Knee - 05 / 05 / 21

San Antonio

Rudy Gay (SF)

Ques Sun Heel - 16 / 05 / 21

Patty Mills (PG)

Out Sun Rest - 16 / 05 / 21

Dejounte Murray (PG)

Ques Sun Back - 16 / 05 / 21

Lonnie Walker IV (SG)

Ques Sun Quadricep - 16 / 05 / 21

DeMar DeRozan (SG)

Out Sat Rest - 14 / 05 / 21

Rudy Gay (SF)

Out Sat Rest - 14 / 05 / 21

Dejounte Murray (PG)

Out Sat Rest - 14 / 05 / 21

Jakob Poeltl (C)

Out Sat Rest - 14 / 05 / 21

Luka Samanic (PF)

Out indefinitely Hand - 13 / 05 / 21

DeMar DeRozan (SG)

Out Sun Rest - 02 / 05 / 21

Injuries

Milwaukee

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 17 / 07 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Antetokounmpo is going through the league's health and safety protocols, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Sam Merrill (PG)	Ques Tues	Ankle - 17 / 07 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Merrill has a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Game 6 of the NBA Final.
Sam Merrill (PG)	Ques Sun	Ankle - 09 / 06 / 21	10-7	7-8-2	+ -
Merrill is dealing with a right ankle sprain, and it is unknown if he will be in the lineup for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference second round versus the Nets.
Jordan Nwora (PF)	Ques Fri	Thigh - 07 / 06 / 21	10-8	7-9-2	+ -
Nwora is bothered by a left thigh contusion, and it is unclear if he will partake in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Hawks.
Donte DiVincenzo (SG)	out for season	Foot - 28 / 05 / 21	12-8	8-10-2	+ -
DiVincenzo suffered a tendon injury in his left foot and will miss the remainder of the season.
Jeff Teague (PG)	Ques Thurs	Knee - 21 / 05 / 21	13-10	10-11-2	+ -
Teague is nursing a sore left knee, and it is unknown if he will dress for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round versus the Heat.
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)	Mid June	Knee - 17 / 05 / 21	14-10	10-12-2	+ -
Antetokounmpo is battling right patella tendon soreness, and it is anticipated that he will be out until the middle of June.
Khris Middleton (SF)	Ques Sat	Ankle - 16 / 05 / 21	14-10	10-12-2	+ -
Middleton is dealing with left ankle soreness, and it is unclear if he will take the court against the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round.
P.J. Tucker (SF)	Prob Fri	Neck - 06 / 05 / 21	14-15	14-13-2	+ -
Tucker exited the previous contest with a neck and jaw injury, but it is projected that he will dress for Friday's clash with the Rockets.
Khris Middleton (SF)	Prob Fri	Knee - 05 / 05 / 21	15-15	14-14-2	+ -
Middleton missed the last game with right knee soreness, but it is likely that he will take on the Rockets on Friday.

San Antonio

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Rudy Gay (SF)	Ques Sun	Heel - 16 / 05 / 21	0-1	2-0	+ -
Gay is dealing with a heel injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active Sunday versus the Suns.
Patty Mills (PG)	Out Sun	Rest - 16 / 05 / 21	0-1	2-0	+ -
Mills will not be in the lineup on Sunday versus the Suns, as he will be given a day of rest.
Dejounte Murray (PG)	Ques Sun	Back - 16 / 05 / 21	0-1	2-0	+ -
Murray is tending to a back injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the court on Sunday to battle the Suns.
Lonnie Walker IV (SG)	Ques Sun	Quadricep - 16 / 05 / 21	0-1	2-0	+ -
Walker is bothered by a quadriceps injury, and it is unclear if he will lace on for Sunday's tilt with the Suns.
DeMar DeRozan (SG)	Out Sat	Rest - 14 / 05 / 21	1-1	2-1	+ -
DeRozan will not be active against the Suns on Saturday as he will receive a day of rest.
Rudy Gay (SF)	Out Sat	Rest - 14 / 05 / 21	1-1	2-1	+ -
Gay will not face the Suns on Saturday as he will receive a day of rest.
Dejounte Murray (PG)	Out Sat	Rest - 14 / 05 / 21	1-1	2-1	+ -
Murray will not be available for Saturday's contest versus the Suns as he will be given a day of rest.
Jakob Poeltl (C)	Out Sat	Rest - 14 / 05 / 21	1-1	2-1	+ -
Poeltl will not take the court for Saturday's matchup with the Suns as he will be given a day of rest.
Luka Samanic (PF)	Out indefinitely	Hand - 13 / 05 / 21	1-2	3-1	+ -
Samanic is out of commission with a fractured left fourth metacarpal, and he will miss an extended period.
DeMar DeRozan (SG)	Out Sun	Rest - 02 / 05 / 21	5-5	7-4	+ -
DeRozan will not be in the lineup on Sunday versus the 76ers, as he will be given a day of rest.