Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Game 5 Prediction, NBA Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 10, 2022

The Miami Heat aim to reclaim the series lead with a ninth straight home victory when they host the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday in Game 5 of their NBA second-round playoff matchup.

Philadelphia
51-31
AT
May 10, 2022, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Miami
53-29
Pointspread +3 -105
Moneyline +136
Over / Under o +208

37%

Betting Action

63%

Pointspread -3 -114
Moneyline -164
Over / Under u +208

37%

Betting Action

63%

The Heat return home after struggling to generate offence in back-to-back losses in Philadelphia that leave the series tied at two games apiece. Conversely, the 76ers have been energized by the return of Joel Embiid, who had been sidelined for the first two games of the series by injury.

The Heat have faded to 3-point favourites to win on the NBA odds since opening at -3.5, but have maintained the support of a narrow 54 per cent majority of sports bettors. Miami also remains perched as diminished -152 chalk on the NBA playoff series prices. Philadelphia is pegged as a +132 moneyline underdog in its bid to claim its first lead of the series, and also continues to lag as a +123 longshot on the series prices. The total has also faded since opening at 210, dipping to 209.5. However, the OVER has attracted 69 per cent of the betting action.

76ers vs. Heat NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Tuesday night’s matchup at FTX Arena marks the ninth overall meeting of the season between these Eastern Conference rivals. Each club has tallied four wins over that stretch, including one win on the road. However, the Heat have largely dominated in head-to-head clashes on home court, going 7-1 straight up and covering six times over Philadelphia’s past eight visits. The UNDER has paid out in six of nine clashes between these clubs. However, the total has topped 218 in three of five meetings since late March.

The 76ers are coming off their best offensive performance of the series. Philly shooters converted 54.4 per cent of field goal attempts in Game 4, including an impressive 16-for-33 from three-point country. Conversely, the Heat have work to do to regain their form that made them the top team in the NBA from beyond the arc during the regular season. Miami converted just 40.9 per cent of attempts in Games 3 and 4, while going a dismal 14-for-65 on three-pointers.

Philadelphia 76ers

In addition to the boost provided by Embiid’s return to action, the 76ers also benefited in Game 4 from James Harden’s best performance so far in this year’s NBA playoffs. The Beard was dominant all over the court while racking up 31 points, including six three-pointers, and added a game-high nine assists. However, Harden has struggled to maintain form on the road, where he has averaged just 17.7 points over his past 10 appearances. Embiid drained 24 points and 11 rebounds for his seventh double-double of the postseason, but continued to struggle at the line, going 9-for-13.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler received plenty of attention from Philadelphia defenders in Game 4, but was steady at the free throw line while going 12-for-13. Overall, Butler led the way with 40 points, but was one of just two starters to reach double digits on the night. Sixth Man of the Year Tyler Herro continued to impress, racking up 11 points and 10 boards. However, both he and veteran power forward PJ Tucker are listed as questionable for Game 5 due to ankle and knee injuries, respectively.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win 76ers vs. Heat?

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