UFC Odds, Early Prediction: Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Rematch

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 16, 2020

mcgregor poirier

It's a rematch UFC fight fans have been waiting for. Now, it looks like McGregor and Poirier will finally clash again in January.

The biggest name in mixed martial arts without question is former two-division champion Conor McGregor, and he’s set to return to the Octagon on Jan. 23, 2021 for a rematch against Dustin Poirier. Sports Interaction isn’t waited for this fight to become official, opening exclusive odds that have McGregor as a -185 favorite on the MMA odds board with Poirier at +145. Sports Interaction will do a deeper dive on this fight the week of it, but here’s an overview of what we know now.

McGregor was hoping to stage the fight at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, as McGregor calls Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones a friend, and McGregor has designs on fighting boxing legend Manny Pacquiao in that building perhaps next year.

However, that location is reportedly not happening. UFC president Dana White says coronavirus precautions would essentially nix that, although the Cowboys have allowed some fans at their games. This bout most likely would be held at the UFC’s Apex location in Las Vegas or on Fight Island in Abu Dhabi and probably be the headliner of UFC 257.

McGregor vs. Poirier UFC Betting Odds

McGregor (22-4) accepted a rematch against Poirier (26-6) even though there’s no title at stake because Poirier is a southpaw and of the better boxers in the sport. Thus, McGregor is treating it as a tune-up for a potential Pacquiao fight.

Of course, McGregor fought Floyd Mayweather Jr. in the boxing ring in 2017 and acquitted himself pretty well in the loss. The Irishman also reportedly made around $100 million for that. UFC fighters don’t come within a million miles/metres of that kind of payday, so one can see why McGregor might want Pacquiao.

McGregor has fought just twice in the Octagon since 2016. He lost a lightweight title bout against Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 229 in October 2018 and then both guys were suspended due to a brawl after. Khabib, incidentally, puts that belt on the line next Saturday at UFC 254 on Fight Island against Justin Gaethje. Khabib is -310 and Gaethje +220.

McGregor would love a rematch, but Khabib will not grant one because of all the bad blood.

“Notorious” returned to the Octagon on January 18 and beat Donald Cerrone in impressive fashion by first-round TKO (head kick and punches). One of the biggest stories in the sport since has been who McGregor would fight next. For example, Sports Interaction had offered these potential fight odds for the better part of 2020:

UFC Betting Odds

McGregor +230 vs. Khabib (-320)

McGregor -1695 vs. Mayweather (+900) but in an MMA fight, not boxing

McGregor +130 vs. Jorge Masvidal (-160)

McGregor -140 vs. Gaethje (+110)

McGregor -245 vs. Nate Diaz (+185)

Poirier has just one loss in his past eight outings: To Khabib in September 2019. “The Diamond” rebounded with a unanimous decision win over Dan Hooker in June. Poirier is ranked as the No. 2 lightweight and McGregor No. 5.

These two fought at featherweight at UFC 178 in September 2014 and, interestingly, McGregor closed at -185 for that and Poirier +145. McGregor dominated, knocking down Poirier with a left punch in the first round and quickly finishing him with some hammer-fists at the 1:46 mark.

Not only has there been no location or contracts signed for the rematch yet, there has been no word at which weight – but it definitely will not be featherweight again.

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier Early UFC Prediction

Yes, it’s still early and yes there is still a lot to sort out before this bout becomes official. But it’s nice to get in on early odds too. Take a shot at Poirier by submission. All four of McGregor’s losses are via that route.