UFC Mexico: Edgar Chairez vs. Felipe Bunes fight prediction
Considering both Chairez and Buns have had slow starts to their UFC careers, a win could put either of them on the map.
Edgar Chairez vs. Felipe Bunes UFC Mexico Odds
At the time of writing this preview, Chairez is a -330 favourite on the MMA odds board, while Buns is a +240 underdog.
Outside of the money-line market, this fight projects to end inside the distance (-230), while bettors would return a juicy payout if it went to decision +174. As for backing an exact method of victory, Chairez to win by finish (-140) looks to be the most likely result, while Buns to win by finish (+500) is a long shot.
Edgar Chairez UFC stats
Chairez enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-6 and 2-3 in the UFC. His most recent fight in the UFC ended in a win by submission against CJ Vergara back in March 2025. Chairez has not been in the UFC for long, but it is apparent that he prefers to stand up and strike. He averages 3.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%.
In terms of grappling, Chairez has not shown any ability. He averages just 1.7 submission attempts every 15 minutes and has takedown defence of only 33%.
Felipe Bunes UFC stats
Bunes enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-8 and 1-2 in the UFC. In his most recent fight, Bunes lost to Rafael Estevam by unanimous decision back in August 2025.
Even though Bunes has limited UFC experience, he has been a fairly balanced fighter. He averages 2.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. As for grappling, Buns tallies 1.13 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.3 submission attempts during the same period. Additionally, Buns has a takedown accuracy of 22% and a takedown defence of 40%.
UFC Fight Night Prediction: Who Will Win Chairez vs. Bunes?
With Chairez too big a favourite to bet on the money line, I will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Over the course of his MMA career, Chairez has seen 14 of his 18 fights end inside the distance. This includes two of his last three UFC fights.
As for Buns, he has seen 14 of his 22 career MMA fights end inside the distance, which includes two of his last three UFC fights.
Given the high finish rate for both fighters, backing this fight to end inside the distance (-230) is the best way to go.