Edgar Chaput
March 9, 2023

Ricardo Ramos vs Austin Lingo: UFC Fight Night 221 Odds, Prediction

The bout involves some of the younger fighters in the circuit, as neither is even 30 years old yet. For that matter, Lingo has only 10 bouts to his name.

As per the MMA odds, the Brazilian Ramos is a -380 favourite, with his opponent Lingo sitting at +260.

Ricardo Ramos -425
Austin Lingo +290

Ricardo Ramos

Hailing from Sao Paulo, Brazil, the one they call “Carcacinha” enters the ring with a solid 16-4 win-loss tally under his belt. Speaking belts, his knowledge of Brazilian jiu-jitsu is deserving of a black one.

Recent history has mostly been on his side, and even when it wasn’t, the reasons were not strictly MMA related. For instance, he was scheduled to tussle with Bill Algeo back in April 2021 at UFC on ESPN 22, but had to pull out due to COVID protocols. Since then he has been awarded two tilts, but could only partake in one. The first was in June of last year at UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs Emmett, in which he earned a first-round victory thanks to a knockout. The second would have transpired at UFC Fight Night 209 last September against Danny Henry, but the latter withdrew for undisclosed reasons.

There is hardly any weight difference between the two (half a pound), but Ramos has a modest reach edge (72 inches to Lingo’s 70). Likewise for the legs at 40 to his opposite number’s 39. “Carcacinha” doesn’t greatly benefit from one method of victory over any other. He gets most of his wins via submission (44 per cent), but both KO/TKO and decisions occur a reasonable number of times (25 and 31 per cent, respectively). Where things can get nasty is with respect to significant hits per minute. Although he delivers on average 3.32, he eats 3.82. Takedowns are a significant advantage here, as he accomplishes 2.58 per 15 minutes to Lingo’s 0.67.

Austin Lingo

First and foremost, the nickname “Lights Out” is pretty cool. To be fair, the Texas native has mostly earned it, going 9-1 in his professional career thus far. Anyone wondering why he has fought so little, relatively speaking, need look no further than the trials and tribulations of getting his recent fights off the ground.

The last time the taekwondo black belt actually engaged in combat was, amazingly, all the way back in August 2021 at UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs Kattar. The tilt was against Luis Saldana, which he claimed through a unanimous decision. Prior to that was a bout against Jacob Kilburn at UFC on ABC: Holloway vs Kattar. That tilt also saw him impress the judges sufficiently for a win.

Since then, however, two bouts were expected but never happened. Lingo pulled out of UFC Fight Night 201 in February 2022 and then again for UFC on ESPN 39 in July 2022. Thus, it has been 19 months since his last professional bout.

We mentioned how takedowns aren’t a strength of his, but that was regarding their execution. As for defending against, he’s a terrific 80 per cent. Like Ramos, his manners of victory are relatively diverse, with 44 per cent coming via decision, 22 per cent decided through submissions, and the remaining 34 per cent earned through KO/TKO. Interestingly, he receives the exact same amount of significant strikes every 60 seconds as Ramos (3.82). That said, he lands 4, which is higher. Even their defence is nearly identical (57 per cent for Ramos and 58 for Lingo).