New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Sep 30, 2021

Plenty of records were broken Wednesday night in Toronto's 6-5 win over the Yankees, as the Jays stayed alive in the AL wild-card chase and have a chance to clinch the series on Thursday.

NY Yankees
September 30, 2021, 7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
Runline +1.5 -142
Moneyline +140
Over / Under o +8.5


Betting Action


Runline -1.5 +118
Moneyline -168
Over / Under u +8.5


Betting Action


It was a historic night in Toronto Wednesday, with Bo Bichette‘s 27th and 28th home runs of the season setting a franchise record for a shortstop.  Not to be outdone, Marcus Semien‘s 44th bomb broke the single-season MLB record for a second baseman.  Bichette and Semien both hit the 100-RBI mark in the game, giving the Blue Jays four 100+ RBI players (Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Teoscar Hernandez included) in the same season for the first time in franchise history and just the first time by any major league team since 2003.

Toronto will run it right back Thursday night as they look to clinch their three-game series against the New York Yankees and stay alive in the wild-card race.  The Jays are -160 favourites to win on the MLB odds, with a total of 8.5.

Betting Analysis

The Blue Jays have already won the season series against New York, taking 11 of 18 games.  That success is leading nearly 80 per cent of Sports Interaction bettors to take Toronto on Thursday.  The Over/Under, on the other hand, is split right down the middle.

New York headed to Rogers Centre this week as one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They’re 7-1 straight up in their last eight games overall and 4-1 SU in their last five road games against Toronto.  The Yankees have been a much better cover option on the road this year, going 43-37 against the spread outside of New York.  The total has gone Under in 12 of their last 17 games against AL East opponents.  New York is 31-23 against left-handed pitchers this season.

The Blue Jays are 9-3 SU in their last 12 home games and 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Yankees.  They’re 40-37 ATS at home this year compared to 44-37 ATS on the road.  The total has gone Under in six of Toronto’s last eight games.  The Jays are 67-50 against right-handed pitchers in 2021.

New York Yankees

The Yankees’ seven-game win streak ended Wednesday night, but they’re still holding on to top spot in the crowded AL wild-card race.  New York’s improved offence made the difference during their win streak, but it’s still struggled overall this year.  They’ve averaged 4.42 runs per game in 2021 (18th in the majors) and they have a .732 team OPS (12th).  Pitching has kept them alive.  The Yankees’ collective 3.72 ERA is second in the American League and their 1,528 total strikeouts is third.

Right-handed Corey Kluber will be on the mound for New York on Thursday night.  Kluber struggled in his last outing against the Texas Rangers last Wednesday.  The 35-year-old lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three runs on eight hits while striking out four in a 7-3 Yankees win.  Kluber has spent quite a bit of time on the IL this year with a strained rotator cuff, but he’s still managed to string together a 5-3 record with a 3.82 ERA over 15 starts.

Toronto Blue Jays

Wednesday’s offensive explosion continues what Toronto has been doing all year.  The Blue Jays have arguably the best hitting lineup in the majors.  They lead all MLB with 251 homers and a .791 OPS.  They’re also second in total hits (1,407) and team batting average (2.64), while sitting third in runs (816) and RBI (786).  Toronto’s pitchers have also done their part, posting the fifth-best ERA in the American League at 3.91.

AL Cy Young-favourite Robbie Ray takes the mound Thursday to close out the regular season series against the Yankees.  Ray, with a 13-6 record, has seen a complete resurgence in his career and leads the AL in ERA (2.68), strikeouts (244), WHIP (1.04) and batting average-against (2.10).  The 29-year-old solidified his case for the Cy Young in his last start, a 6-1 Toronto win last Saturday against Minnesota.  Ray pitched six strong innings, allowing one run on three hits and four walks while striking out six.

MLB Prediction: Who Will Win Yankees vs. Blue Jays?