Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Sep 15, 2023

The AL East rival Boston Red Sox and struggling Toronto Blue Jays tangle for the final time this weekend at Rogers Centre.

September 15, 2023, 7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
Runline +1.5 -156
Moneyline +129
Over / Under o +8.5


Betting Action


Runline -1.5 +130
Moneyline -157
Over / Under u +8.5


Betting Action


The Jays as priced as -130 favourites for Friday’s opener on the MLB odds.

Red Sox vs. Jays September 15th Betting Analysis

Boston’s wild card hopes are on life support and the Blue Jays can essentially end them for good by winning at least two of three this weekend. 

Will the Red Sox bring back manager Alex Cora in 2024? Probably not considering Cora and Chief Baseball Officer Chaim Bloom were considered on very thin ice and Bloom was fired Thursday – rather unusual timing. Why not wait a couple of weeks until after the season? Bloom didn’t originally hire Cora but he re-hired him ahead of the 2021 season. Sounds like the Sox are overhauling their entire front office in the wake of another disappointing year.

No doubt Boston will have to look for starting pitching in the offseason. Their lineup is solid and outfielder Masataka Yoshida will get some votes for AL Rookie of the Year but won’t win it. 

This is the last series of the weekend between the teams. The Jays won the 2022 series 16-3 but will lose this year’s down 7-3.  The Sox are hitting a collective .320 against Toronto pitching this year with 19 home runs and 57 runs scored overall. Boston outfielder Jarren Duran is hitting .417 with three homers against the Blue Jays but was lost for the season not long ago. 

Boston Red Sox

Boston is at a pretty big disadvantage in having to play a doubleheader Thursday against the Yankees (split) and then travel late. The Sox will be without closer Kenley Jansen for this series as he landed on the COVID IL on Wednesday, meaning he must miss at least seven days. Jansen is 3-6 with a 3.63 ERA and 29 saves in 51 relief appearances this season, his first in Boston. There has been a burst of COVID issues around MLB and the USA of late. It’s good-looking young right-hander Brayan Bello (12-8, 3.68 ERA) on the mound Friday. He has allowed exactly three runs in three straight starts and might be tiring a bit with by far a career high in innings pitched. Boston is 17-8 in his starts. Bello’s lone start this year vs. Toronto was on May 4 at Fenway Park, and he allowed four runs over five in a win to improve to 1-2 with a 6.50 ERA in four career starts in the series. Bo Bichette is 5-for-10 off him with a double.

Toronto Blue Jays

It’s fair to say that Toronto’s game Thursday against Texas at Rogers Centre was the most important of the season as the Jays were staring a four-game home sweep in the face … and didn’t show up in a 9-2 loss even with ace Kevin Gausman on the mound. The Rangers outscored Toronto 35-9 over the four games. What an utterly disappointing week so far for the Jays, who are now 1.5 games out of the final AL wild card spot and 2.5 behind No. 2 Texas. Matt Chapman returned from the injured list perhaps a bit earlier than expected and was 0-for-3, but Brandon Belt landed on the IL Tuesday. It’s right-hander Jose Berrios (10-10, 3.63) on the mound here. He struggled his final two August starts but is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in two September outings – granted, against the awful Royals and A’s. Over 13 career starts against Boston, Berrios is 2-6 with a 4.34 ERA. This year, he is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in three outings. Sox rookie Masataka Yoshida is 5-for-9 off him with a double and homer. 

MLB Prediction: Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Blue Jays?