Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jul 26, 2021

With a 1-1 career record against the Red Sox, Thomas Hatch will make his season debut against Boston at Fenway on Monday.

July 27, 2021, 7:10 PM ET
Fenway Park
Runline -1.5 -100
Moneyline -140
Over / Under o +11


Betting Action


Runline +1.5 -120
Moneyline +125
Over / Under u +11


Betting Action


Looking to gain ground in the AL East, the Toronto Blue Jays open a four-game series in Boston against the division-leading Red Sox on Monday.  The Jays dropped two of three games in a weekend road series against the Mets, while Boston won three of four at home against the Yankees.

The Red Sox are -130 favourites to win on the MLB odds, with Toronto at +110.  The total is set at 11.

Betting Analysis

Boston has controlled the season series, winning seven of 11 meetings.  The Red Sox have won four of seven meetings against the Jays in Boston this year.  The total has been fairly split down the middle in the overall series, with the Under hitting six times.

This is a crucial series for the Jays, who have dropped four of their last five games overall and six of their last eight against Boston.  The total has gone Over in four of Toronto’s last six games overall, but they’ve actually cashed the Under in five of their last six on the road.

The Red Sox extended their lead in the AL East with a series win against the Yankees on the weekend and have won five of their last six games overall.  The total has gone Under in 10 of Boston’s last 15 home games against Toronto.  They’ve also failed to hit the number in five straight home games and four of their last five games overall.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays are nearing the do-or-die point of the season and it hasn’t looked promising.  A 10-3 win on Saturday was the lone victory they could pull out of their three-game set in Queens on the weekend.  They’re now 8.5 games back of Boston for the AL East lead and four games back of Oakland for the second wild card spot.  It was the bats that got it done once again on Saturday.  Toronto had 17 hits and five homers in the game.  Teoscar Hernandez homered twice, while Bo Bichette, Marcus Semien and George Springer also went deep.  Starter Hyun-Jin Ryu didn’t factor into the decision, allowing three runs on 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings.  Trevor Richards earned the win by throwing a scoreless inning, allowing one hit, no walks and striking out three batters.

Thomas Hatch is on the mound Monday for his season debut.  Last year Hatch made 17 appearances with one start.  He finished the season with a 3-1 record, posting a 2.73 ERA with 13 walks and 23 strikeouts over 26.1 innings of work.  In Triple-A Buffalo this season, Hatch is 0-1 with a 2.15 ERA.  He has started eight games, walking 12 batters with 29 strikeouts over 29.1 innings.  Hatch has a 1-1 career record against the Red Sox with a 3.68 ERA.  In 4.2 innings, he walked three batters and struck out six.

Boston Red Sox

Boston is in a dogfight with Tampa Bay for top spot in the AL East and they need every win they can get.  They’ll be kicking themselves after blowing a 3-0 lead in the seventh inning against the Yankees on Saturday, giving up four runs in the eighth to drop the 4-3 decision.  Kevin Plawecki finished with one RBI and was the only Red Sox player who managed two hits.  Starter Nathan Eovaldi didn’t get the decision after allowing two runs on seven hits with no walks and eight strikeouts before leaving with two outs in the eighth.  Adam Ottavino took the loss after he allowed two runs on three hits with no walks or strikeouts and finished with one out.

Nick Pivetta will make his 20th start of the season on Monday.  He’s 8-4 this year with a 4.37 ERA, 46 walks, and 117 strikeouts over 103 innings.  It’s been a week since Pivetta’s last start, which came in a 13-4 road win against the Jays.  He threw 6.2 innings and allowed four runs on 11 hits with two walks and four strikeouts.  In 10 starts at Fenway this year, Pivetta is 3-2 with a 5.62 ERA.  In his career against Toronto, he is 1-2 with a 6.67 ERA in six starts.

Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Red Sox?