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Tiger at the Arnold Palmer Invitational – Good Golf Betting?

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Frank Doyle previews the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Orlando and wonders: if Tiger can’t turn it at Orlando, where can he turn it on?

We’re two weeks from the Masters, and Tiger Woods is the clear favorite for the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, Orlando, Florida.

Woods is 8/1 on the golf betting morning line, with the next contender, Dustin Johnson, available at twice the price. This has to do with Woods’ outstanding record at Bay Hill – he’s won six times over eleven years, and that’s a record that has to be respected.

Whether Tiger can ever return to what he was is the bigger question for golf bettors. Because he’s so important to the industry, any time Woods shoots a half-decent round there’s a story somewhere wondering: is Tiger back? And the answer is invariably: no, he’s not. He can’t put rounds together like he used to, and the rest of the tour just isn’t frightened of him any more.

The field for the Arnold Palmer Invitational is peppered with Tiger’s great rivals over the past ten years. Ernie Els, winner of three majors and the reigning champion at Bay Hill. Phil Mickelson, a winner here in the ‘nineties and a man who needs a run of form just as badly as Tiger himself as Augusta looms. And perhaps most intriguingly of all, Sergio Garcia.

Garcia looked like being Woods’ great rival at the start of both their careers but while Woods went stratospheric in the 2000s, Garcia stayed firmly rooted to Earth. He had a good Thursday and Friday at Copperhead but he’s not a good value bet at Bay Hill because he can’t putt for nuts. And you won’t win much when the putts aren’t dropping.

This year’s golf has been all about big priced winners, so we have to look hard for value – not just in the outrights, but in the host of other golf bets you can make with Sports Interaction – group betting, big guns, head to heads, winning region and more. But for the outright, here’s Sports Interaction’s

Fore! to Follow

Brandt Snedeker (+5500). The Tennessean finished fourth at the Transitions last week.

Charl Schwartzel (+4000). The young South African was in the Top 25 in the World at the start of the year. He’s got the game to make a return.

Ernie Els (+4000). Els is currently out of form but he’s won here before and there’s no reason he can’t win again.

Ian Poulter (+6000). Good value at a big price.

Bet now on the Arnold Palmer Invitational!

Golf World Rankings, March 22nd, 2011

RankChangeLast WeekPlayerNationalityAverage Points
1-1Martin KaymerGermany7.98
2-2Lee WestwoodEngland7.69
3-3Luke DonaldEngland6.64
4-4Graeme McDowellNorthern Ireland6.28
5-5Tiger WoodsUSA5.94
6-6Phil MickelsonUSA5.88
7-7Paul CaseyEngland5.74
8-8Rory McIlroyNorthern Ireland5.54
9-9Matt KucharUSA5.4
10-10Steve StrickerUSA5.37
11-11Dustin JohnsonUSA5.17
12-12Jim FurykUSA4.98
13-13Ernie ElsSouth Africa4.82
14+115Nick WatneyUSA4.61
15-114Ian PoulterEngland4.47
16-16Francesco MolinariItaly4.46
17-17Bubba WatsonUSA4.35
18+119Retief GoosenSouth Africa4.24
19-118Hunter MahanUSA4.22
20-20Robert KarlssonSweden4.13
21+324Alvaro QuirosSpain3.74
22+123Tim ClarkSouth Africa3.73
23-221Miguel A. JimenezSpain3.72
24-222Louis OosthuizenSouth Africa3.68
25-25Edoardo MolinariItaly3.49