The 2025 Valspar Championship: PGA Tour Betting Odds
England’s Tommy Fleetwood leads on the PGA golf odds.
This tournament follows back-to-back big-money events in Players Championship and Arnold Palmer Invitational, so not a huge surprise that many of the world’s top players are skipping this week. That includes Rory McIlroy, who won the Players in a Monday playoff over relative journeyman JJ Spaun – he’s not playing this week, either. In total, 23 of the top 50 golfers in the world are set to tee it up.
We might not see some of the best again until the Masters with the next two Tour stops in Texas. We won’t see Tiger Woods at all in 2025, apparently, after revealing last week he underwent surgery after rupturing his left Achilles tendon while ramping up training and practice at home.
This event has had several names over the years with some sponsorship issues, but tournament officials recently announced a five-year contract extension with the Minnesota-based Valspar Corp.
USA players have won the past four stagings of this event – canceled in 2020 due to COVID – after non-Americans did the previous four. Peter Malnati is the defending champion. He shot a final-round 4-under 67 last year to finish at 12-under 272 and two up on Cameron Young for his second career Tour win and first since the 2015 Sanderson Farms Championship.
Malnati had started his final round in the penultimate group, two shots behind leader Keith Mitchell – but Mitchell blew up with a 77. Young also helped hand the title to Malnati with a bogey on his 72nd hole. Malnati hasn’t won since, is having a rough year and is +40000 to be the first repeat winner here since Sam Burns in 2022.
Mackenzie Hughes of Canada and then-Tour rookie Chandler Phillips tied for third last year. They were among five players who had at least a share of the lead in the final round. I liked Brian Harman, but that busted after he missed the cut.
The course itself is a very popular one on Tour as Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club’s Copperhead hosts yet again, a par 71 at 7,352 yards that is quite hilly (and treelined) unlike most courses in fairly flat Florida. One change for this year that added a bit of length is No. 9 playing from the No. 11 tee, which also brought some bunkers in to play. The closing three holes are the toughest and known as the “Snake Pit,” two challenging par-4s sandwiched between a 200-yard par 3. It’s vital to be accurate off the tee everywhere at Copperhead.
The Valspar Championship Golf Odds
This writer can’t remember the last time England’s Tommy Fleetwood was favoured in a PGA Tour event – DP World Tour, sure – but he’s the +1200 leader to win his first event in the USA to go with eight career international victories. Fleetwood hasn’t been worse than T22 in four PGA events this year and has a best of third here in 2023.
Justin Thomas (+1400) tied the course record at TPC Sawgrass last Friday at the Players with a 10-under 62 but faded on the weekend. He still has three Top 10s this season and was Top 10 at Copperhead in 2022 & ’23 but yet to win. Sepp Straka (+1800) became the first Austrian to win on the PGA Tour earlier this year but hasn’t contended in two trips here.
In normal situations where world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and No. 2 Rory McIlroy aren’t playing and No. 3 Xander Schauffele is, he would be the tournament favourite but Schauffele is a +2000 fourth-favourite with a rather non-descript start to 2025 that also saw him miss a handful of events injured. Schauffele’s best finish at the Valspar is fifth last year.
Canadian Adam Hadwin got his lone PGA Tour win at Copperhead in 2017, shooting 14-under 270, and he’s the only lone Canadian winner of the event. Mackenzie Hughes had that close call in 2024 with the T3, while Hadwin was T5, Roger Sloan T49, Adam Svensson T49 and Nick Taylor T64. Ben Silverman and Taylor Pendrith missed the cut.
Corey Conners is among the favourites this week at +2200. He comes off his third Top 10 of the year at the Players and has a best of 16th at the Valspar. Hadwin is +10000 to add a second title here and had a T5 last year. Hughes is also +10000 with Svensson +17500 and Silverman +30000.
The Valspar Championship Golf Predictions
Believe Canadiens Adam Hadwin and Corey Conners can contend this weekend but lean American Justin Thomas at +1400 as he has such a strong overall track record at Copperhead but yet to win.
