Farmers Insurance Open 2025 Betting: Can Aberg or Zalatoris Take the Title?
Note that this tees off on Wednesday as in the past few years so that the final round is Saturday and not Sunday opposite the AFC and NFC Championship Games in the NFL when golf would be an afterthought to most sports fans.
The Farmers Insurance Open usually has a world-class field but this year’s is missing world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, No. 2 Xander Schauffele, No. 3 Rory McIlroy and No. 5 Collin Morikawa for various reasons. Schaffuele is from San Diego but also had to WD from last week’s American Express for a “medical issue.” Canadian Mackenzie Hughes was originally in this field but also WD.
Torrey Pines is one of the favourite courses for Tiger Woods, and he has won this event a record seven times as well as the 2008 U.S. Open at the course, but Tiger probably won’t be playing this tournament ever again with his very limited schedule due to the physical demands.
The defending champion is Frenchman Matthieu Pavon, who shot a 13-under 275 to finish one up on Denmark’s Nicolai Hojgaard. Pavon made an 8-foot putt for a dramatic birdie on No. 18 on Sunday to become the first Frenchman to win on the PGA Tour. That was Pavon’s only birdie on the back-nine. It was only his 11th career PGA Tour event and remains his only win in the States along with one on the DP Word Tour.
Pavon technically wasn’t the first Frenchman to win on the Tour as French-American Martin Trainer won his first Tour event at the 2019 Puerto Rico Open but did so while representing the USA. He later switched his nationality to France. My pick last year was Schauffele, but he finished T9.
Players competed on three courses last week at the American Express up the California coast and will do so on two at Torrey Pines: The South Course is the main and is a par 72 at 7,765 yards, while the North is also a par 72 at 7,258 yards. Golfers play a round on each ahead of the 36-hole cut and then just the South on the weekend.
Farmers Insurance Open Golf Odds
Sweden’s Ludvig Aberg is the +1000 favourite as he plays here for only the second time after a T9 last year at 9 under. Aberg’s lone PGA Tour event this year was a T5 at the year-opening Sentry in Hawaii.
Hideki Matsuyama (+1100), Sungjae Im (+1800), Keegan Bradley (+2200) and Tony Finau (+2200) round out the favourites. Matsuyama won the season-opening Sentry and then was T16 the next week before skipping the American Express. Matsuyama has two Top 10s in his career at the Farmers Insurance Open and finished T13 a year ago.
Im was third in the Sentry but missed the cut over the weekend at the AMEX. He also missed the cut here in 2024 but was fourth and sixth the previous two years. Bradley opened the year with a sixth and 15th in Hawaii and was runner-up here in 2023 to Max Homa (+3300 this week). Finau hasn’t won here but his average round score of 69.86 since 2019 at Torrey Pines is tied for the best with fellow American Will Zalatoris (+2500) – who lost this event in a playoff to Luke List (+15000) three years ago.
No Canadian has won this event. Al Balding finished runner-up to Arnold Palmer twice, and Graham DeLaet was second in 2014 with four others. Taylor Pendrith was the top finisher last year at T9, while Ben Silverman was T56 and Mackenzie Hughes T64. Roger Sloan and Adam Svensson missed the cut. Pendrith is +3300 this week with Svensson +17500 and Silverman +30000.
Farmers Insurance Open Golf Predictions
No price yet on an American to win – probably around -250 — but we expect that to be the case and California native Will Zalatoris (+2500) is the pick with his strong course history but yet to win at Torrey Pines.