2026 PGA Tour BMW Championship Golf Betting Odds

It’s the second of three playoff events on the PGA Tour this week and penultimate tournament of the main season starting Thursday from St. Louis with the BMW Championship. The Top 50 in FedExCup points qualified – all are set to play — and world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler per usual is the heavy favourite on the golf odds.

BMW Championship

Following Sunday’s FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis that Scheffler won for his second victory of the year, Matt McCarty ended up as the lucky person to finish sit 50th in points, while the four unluckiest guys were fellow Americans Keith Mitchell (51), Jordan Spieth (52), Max Homa (53) and Harris English (54) and all had their chances Sunday to get into the Top 50.

Mitchell’s fate was truly agonizing as he hit into water on No. 18 and had a bogey when par would have gotten him in. He was the only golfer in the Top 50 last week who was booted out. Sungjae Im moved from No. 53 to No. 40. Spieth climbed had climbed as high as No. 45 in the point standings early in his round Sunday but faded on the back-nine.

Canadians Sudarshan Yellamaraju (58th), Corey Conners (59th) and Nick Taylor (63rd) also came up short, thus no players from the country will play the final two playoff events. Only the Top 30 in points after Sunday’s final round in St. Louis will reach the Tour Championship. Rickie Fowler is currently sitting 30th and Gary Woodland 31st. There are no cuts in any of these playoff events.

The BMW Championship is definitely trickier to handicap because the event moves around a fair amount. It was played once previously at Bellerive Country Club in a St. Louis suburb and that was in 2008 when Colombia’s Camillo Villegas shot 15-under 265 to win by two. Bellerive is also scheduled to host the 2030 Presidents Cup.

Scheffler is the defending champion as in the final round last year at Caves Valley in Maryland, he rallied from a four-shot deficit on just five holes and then chipped in from 82 feet for birdie on the par-3 17th to clinch it. Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre had been the guy with that big lead but didn’t make a birdie until the 16th hole. Scheffler finished at 15-under 265, two up on MacIntyre. Americans have won the event four of the past five years.

Bellerive is referred to often as the “Green Monster of Ladue” in reference to being a tough track and essentially located in that suburb city. It will play to par 70 at 7,448 yards and has large, deep bunkers, penal water hazards and thick rough. The club was the youngest to host a U.S. Open, only 5 years old when it staged it in 1965. Gary Player won that year to cap the career Grand Slam. Bellerive is one of only five courses worldwide to crown a career Grand Slam champion.

It also hosted the 2018 PGA Championship won by Brooks Koepka at 16-under 264. The par-3 sixth measuring 215 yards played as the most difficult hole during that tournament at more than more than one-third of a shot over par.

BMW Championship Golf Odds

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (+290) was having a fine year entering last week’s playoff opener but hadn’t actually won since January. But he blew away the field on Sunday in Memphis to win by eight shots, the largest margin in 68 years at TPC Southwind. It was the 11th straight time the American converted a 54-hole lead into a win and was the 21st victory of his career – all since 2022.

The last player to repeat in the event was Patrick Cantlay (+3000 this year and needing a good result sitting 43rd in points) when he took the 2021 event in Maryland and the 2022 tournament in Delaware.

Rory McIlroy is +1600, but he doesn’t seem all that focused on golf right now as he has admitted recently and it’s showing. He was only T66 last week and didn’t break par in any round, saying he felt “lost.” But like Scheffler and many others, he’s assured of advancing to the Tour Championship.

The favourites are rounded out by Sam Burns (+1800), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) and Xander Schauffele (+2000) – Schauffele was my pick to win last year but was T28. He was 35th in the 2018 PGA Championship at the track. Burns is really playing well of late with two thirds, a runner-up and a T12 in his past four. Aberg enters off back-to-back Top 10s. Fleetwood was seventh in Memphis.

No Canadian has won this tournament and as mentioned none made it this year, so nothing to see here.

BMW Championship Golf Predictions

The best overall bet is likely an American winner again, but for an individual I am going to throw some longer-shot money down on Alex Noren at +6000. Sitting 34th in points, the Swede needs a good result to move on and has been third and seventh the past two weeks on Tour.