2025 U.S. Open: PGA Tour Betting Odds

Expect few players to finish under par this week as the 2025 event is held at mega-tough Oakmont Country Club outside Pittsburgh. Scottie Scheffler is favoured on the golf odds.

Oakmont first joined the United States Golf Association (USGA) in 1903, and the course has held 17 USGA Championships. That includes nine previous U.S. Opens, most of any track. It will also host in 2033, 2042 and 2049. The U.S. Women’s Open will be there in 2028 and 2038. Oakmont plays to a par 70 at 7,372 yards. It’s similar to a links-style course with no water hazards and a minimal amount of trees.

The last time the U.S. Open was held there, American Dustin Johnson won the tournament for the first and only time, shooting 4-under 276 and three up on runners-up Jim Furyk, Scott Piercy and Shane Lowry. Johnson is now on the LIV Tour and among a handful of golfers to play this week. DJ is +15000. Phil Mickelson is +25000 to win his first U.S. Open to complete the career grand slam. Lefty has finished second in the tournament a record six times and has hinted this might be his last one as he will be 55 next Monday. He will no longer be automatically qualified to play it barring an excellent result. 

Since that Johnson win, only twice has the U.S. Open winner finished double-digits under par. The defending champion is another LIV golfer in the USA’s Bryson DeChambeau – his second U.S. Open title after 2020 at Winged Foot. Last year, DeChambeau shot 6-under 274 at very tough Pinehurst No. 2 in North Carolina to finish a shot up on Rory McIlroy. We backed an American winner last year at -155.

DeChambeau sank a 4-footer for par on the 72nd hole to avoid a playoff. He had started the final round with a three-stroke lead but shot a 1-over 71 on Sunday to become is the first U.S. Open champion to record a score over par in the final round since  Graeme McDowell shot a 3-over 74 at Pebble Beach in 2010. McIlroy was playing ahead of DeChambeau and missed his own 4-footer for par and settled for bogey. 

Fellow American and LIV golfer Brooks Koepka in 2018 is the last player to repeat in the U.S. Open, which always concludes on Father’s Day Sunday in the USA. The past four U.S. Opens were decided by exactly one shot. Almost impossibly, there hasn’t been a playoff since 2008. Nowadays, a playoff is two-hole aggregate and then sudden death if still tied. That we get a playoff Sunday is +350.

U.S. Open Golf Odds

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is +275 to win his first U.S. Open and get 75 per cent of the way to the career grand slam. In his past four tournaments on the PGA Tour this year, he has three victories (including the PGA Championship) and a fourth-place finish. Scheffler is trying to be the first golfer to win back-to-back majors since Jordan Spieth 10 years ago.

Bryson DeChambeau is +750 to repeat and become the seventh golfer with at least three U.S. Open victories. He has finished in the top six of five of six majors since the start of 2024. No other golfer can come close to saying that. 

Jon Rahm (+1200), Rory McIlroy (+1200) and Xander Schauffele (+2200) round out the favourites. Rahm won the 2021 event at Torrey Pines in San Diego and held a share of the lead at last month’s PGA Championship on the back-nine Sunday but imploded. Rahm and Scheffler are the only two golfers to finish Top 15 in each of the past three majors.

McIlroy after a stellar start to 2025 suddenly seems lost with a T47 at the PGA Championship and a shocking missed cut at the Canadian Open last week in his past two events amid issues with a conforming driver. McIlroy won the 2011 U.S. Open and has been runner-up the past two years.  Schauffele has finished Top 15 in all eight career U.S. Open appearances but yet to win it.  He’s not having a great year with just one Top 10. 

Players from 11 different countries have won the U.S. Open but not from Canada. Corey Conners was the top finisher last year at T9, while Taylor Pendrith was T16 and Adam Svensson T56. Adam Hadwin, Nick Taylor, Mackenzie Hughes and amateur Ashton McCulloch all missed the cut.  Conners is +6000 this week with Pendrith +10000, Taylor +15000 and Hughes +20000 

U.S. Open Golf Predictions

We’ll simply stick with an American winner at -150 as it’s value getting so many excellent golfers lumped in one wager.

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