2025 John Deere Classic: PGA Tour Betting Odds

Ben Griffin is favoured to win the 2025 John Deere Classic on the golf odds.

This is the last main PGA Tour event in the United States until the 3M Open tees off in Minnesota on July 24. That’s because the main Tour event next week is the Genesis Scottish Open overseas and then the following week is the British Open. There will be Tour events in the USA both weeks but very weak opposite-field tournaments.

John Deere, one of the Tour’s longest-running title sponsors since 1998, has signed a multi-year extension to continue as title sponsor of this event through 2030, meaning it will stay in the Quad Cities at least through then. The John Deere Classic has been at TPC Deere Run since 2000, which is only miles from John Deere’s world headquarters and constructed specifically to host this event. Each of its 18 holes are named after seminal moments in the community’s history. Only three of the world’s Top 30 are teeing it up in 2025.

This event has been around since 1971, although it was canceled due to COVID in 2020. The last player to win any PGA tournament three straight years was Steve Stricker at the John Deere from 2009-2011. He and DA Weibring are the only players to win it three times.

TPC Deere Run is the host course, a par 71 at around 7,290 yards that was once an Arabian horse farm. The signature hole is the par-3 16th called “Mother Earth.” Water is in play on five holes. The two nines end with the two hardest holes on the course, both par 4s.

Americans have won the tournament the vast majority of times and the defending champion is Davis Thompson, who went off priced at +2200 in 2024. He shot a tournament-record 28-under 256 to beat out Michael Thompson, C.T. Pan and amateur Luke Clanton by four shots. Thompson blew away the field on Sunday with birdies on six of his first nine holes en route to a closing 7-under 64.

In what was his second year and 63rd start on the PGA Tour, Thompson became the 24th player to score his first Tour win at the John Deere Classic. And rather incredibly, he became the third straight winner out of an Airbnb rental house located just a few miles from TPC Deere Run, following 2022 winner J.T. Poston and 2023 champ Sepp Straka. Wish I knew who was staying at the six-bedroom “Trophy House” to the six-bedroom house just outside Colona, Ill., this year.

Because TPC Deere Run is quite easy, with the average winning 72-hole score about 21.7 under par over the past 15 years, there are a lot of blowouts in the tournament. We haven’t had a winner by one shot since current LIV golfer Bryson DeChambeau in 2017 and not had a playoff since 2015.

John Deere Classic Golf Odds

The highest-ranked player in the world in the field is No. 17 Ben Griffin, who is the +1400 favourite – might be the first time he is a tournament favourite to our recollection. Griffin has two wins this year and had a sixth straight Top-14 finish in 2025 on Sunday with a T13 at the Rocket Classic in Detroit.

Aussie Jason Day is +2200 and was 23rd here last year. No Australian has won this event since 2006. Defending champion Davis Thompson (+2500), Denny McCarthy (+2500) and Michael Thorbrojnsen (+2800) round out the favourites. Thompson was 31st here in 2023 before his 2024 win. Thorbrojnsen was one of last year’s runners-up. McCarthy’s last three trips here have ended with a Top 10 but yet to win.

Meanwhile, 20-year-old South African Aldrich Potgieter is +4000 to win a second straight week after capturing the Rocket Classic in Detroit on Sunday, making an 18-foot birdie putt on the fifth playoff hole to outlast Max Greyserman (not playing this week) for his first PGA Tour title. Potgieter became the ninth player to win for the first time this season.

Dave Barr won this event in 1981 in a playoff over fellow Canadian Dan Halldorson as well as Woody Blackburn, Frank Conner and Victor Regalado. Canada’s David Hearn (and Zach Johnson) lost in a 2013 playoff against Jordan Spieth. Ben Silverman was the top finisher last year at T18, followed by Adam Svensson at T34 and Roger Sloan at T61. Adam Hadwin is +12500 this week, Svensson +15000 and Silverman +15000.

John Deere Classic Golf Predictions

Back an American overall but individually like Denny McCarthy at +2500. He has those three straight Top 10s at TPC Deere Run and a stroke average of 67.50 there since 2019.