2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship: PGA Tour Golf Betting Odds
Scottie Scheffler enters the FedEx St. Jude Championship from Memphis favoured to win on the golf odds.
Only the Top 70 in FedExCup points after Sunday’s Wyndham Championship qualified for the PGA Tour’s postseason, although at least one of them will not tee it up this week – there is no cut in the playoff events. One player moved out and one in the Top 70 Sunday at the Wyndham, which was captured by American Cameron Young for his first PGA Tour title to move to 16th in points.
Chris Kirk moved into the Top 70 with his tie for fifth, and Byeong Hun An (missed cut) was the only one to fall out. Have to feel bad for Davis Thompson. Sitting at No. 18 on Sunday in Greensboro, N.C., he needed a par 4 to finish T8 and get into the playoffs at No. 69 in the points. Alas, he missed a 6-footer, dropped to T11 for the tournament and to No. 71 on the FedExCup list. Germany’s Matti Schmid held onto 70th with birdies on his final three holes Sunday.
Canada’s Corey Conners (13th in points), Nick Taylor (18th), Taylor Pendrith (38th) and Mackenzie Hughes (59th) advanced, but Hughes needs a good result this week as the Top 50 in points following Sunday’s final round in Memphis move on to next week’s BMW Championship in Maryland. Currently sitting at No. 51 is J.T. Poston.
Note that Rory McIlroy, who sits No. 2 in the world rankings and in FedExCup points, is opting to skip the St. Jude. He hasn’t fared well career in this event and will return next week. Skipping one event won’t cost McIlroy a shot at qualifying for the Tour Championship. He’s the only eligible player not in this week’s field (as of publication).
There used to be a regular-season St. Jude Classic PGA Tour event – the city has hosted one every year since 1958 — but then this replaced the former Northern Trust as the first playoff tournament. That started in 2022, although the same TPC Southwind course is used. It plays to a par 70 at approximately 7,288 yards. There was a major renovation after last year, including all the greens being rebuilt and resurfaced.
Americans had won the first playoff event eight years running, but that ended in 2024 when Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama finished at 17-under 263 and two shots up on American Xander Schauffele and Norway’s Viktor Hovland. Matsuyama started the final round with a five-shot lead but still had to birdie the final two holes to ensure the win.
He became the first player in nearly three decades to win at TPC Southwind by making birdies on both 17 and 18. It was a wild Sunday for Matsuyama, who after making nine pars and a lone birdie on his first 10 holes had just two pars the rest of the way. He also made three birdies, two bogeys and a double bogey. It was Matsuyama’s 10th career PGA Tour win, and he added No. 11 to kick off 2025 in Hawaii. No player has won the St. Jude twice since it moved into the playoffs.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Golf Odds
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler has “only” won four times this year and is the +250 favourite as he tries to become the first player to repeat as FedExCup champion. That’s just a ridiculous number in a PGA Tour event, but Scheffler is a ridiculous player right now. We last saw him winning the British Open for the first time. He hasn’t finished outside the Top 10 anywhere since the Players in March. Scheffler’s best result in this event was fourth last year.
Xander Schauffele is +1400 and Tommy Fleetwood +2200. It has certainly been a disappointing year for Schauffele without a victory after his breakthrough 2024. He was one of two runners-up here last year. The Englishman Fleetwood still eyes his first PGA Tour win but is having a pretty good year. He was third here in 2023.
Defending champion Hideki Matsuayama along with Justin Thomas, Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick and Russell Henley are all +2500. Matsuyama looks to become the first golfer to go back-to-back at TPC Southwind since Daniel Berger (+5000 this week) in 2016-17. Thomas won at TPC Southwind in 2020 when this was called the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and not part of the playoff.
No Canadian has won this event with five qualifying in 2024: Taylor Pendrith was T22, Adam Hadwin and Corey Conners were each T50, Mackenzie Hughes was 58th and Nick Taylor 65th. Conners is +4000 this week, Pendrith +8000, Nick Taylor +9000 and Hughes +22500.
FedEx St. Jude Championship Golf Predictions
We like the field at -400 as even at that price it’s good value against just Scottie Scheffler; American Sam Burns is solid individual value at +3300. Since 2019, he has the best stroke average at TPC Southwind of anyone in the field but yet to win (runner-up in 2020).
