2024 Mexico Open: PGA Tour Betting Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Feb 19, 2024

PGA: Farmers Insurance Open - Final Round

It’s the first international event of the 2024 PGA Tour season this week with the Mexico Open at Vidanta.

American Tony Finau is favoured to win on the golf odds.

This event dates to 1944 and has been played over a few tours, including European Challenge Tour, Nationwide Tour and PGA Tour Latinoamerica with Canadian Drew Nesbitt winning in 2019 on that latter tour. It became an official PGA Tour event in 2022, replacing the defunct World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. The Greg Norman Signature Course at Vidanta Villarta is a long par 71 at 7,456 yards (for resort guests, it plays to par 73). Positioning off the tee is a big key to success.

In previous years, when the West Coast Swing ended the Tour would go directly to Florida, but that will now wait a week. Because it’s in a bit of a tough spot on the calendar as it follows the Genesis Invitational, a Signature Event, it’s not a great field with just a few guys ranked in the world Top 50. The defending champion Finau is the highest-ranked player in it at No. 24.

Last year, Finau took a two-shot lead into the final round and shot a 5-under 66 to finish at 24-under 260 and three up on second-place Jon Rahm, who was the 2022 winner but is now on the LIV Tour. Finau was one of three runners-up to Rahm that year. The 2023 event was Finau’s sixth career PGA Tour win, and he hasn’t captured a tournament since. The winner this year gets about $1.5 million. By comparison, Hideki Matsuyama earned $4 million for his victory Sunday at the Genesis Invitational. He’s skipping this week.

There are a handful of Mexican players in the field including Sebastián Vázquez, who was the Mexican Amateur Champion in 2011 and 2012 and finished T55 here last year.

One TV note to be aware of this week: Justin Thomas is skipping the Mexico Open, which opened up some time for his caddie, Jim “Bones” Mackay. He will serve as the lead analyst for NBC Sports on the telecast of the event, the first time an active caddie has ever filled that role.

Mexico Open Golf Odds

Tony Finau is the +750 favourite as he looks to repeat. He is one of only a few guys who played at the Genesis Invitational (T19) set to tee it up this week. Finau’s best result this year is a T6 at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Then there’s a big drop-off to the next tier of favourites in Nicolai Hojgaard (+1600), Emiliano Grillo (+2000) and Stephan Jaeger (+2200). The Dane Hojgaard enters with 13 consecutive cuts made worldwide and has a victory and two seconds in his last seven worldwide starts since November. He was 33rd here last year.

Grillo has a best result of fifth here last year. The Argentine also played the Genesis and was T44. Jaeger has been 18th and 15th at this event. The German is looking for his first PGA Tour win but was T3 in late July at the Farmers Insurance Open.

In 2023, Taylor Pendrith was the top Canadian at T30 with Michael Gligic T39. Pendrith is +2500 this week with Mackenzie Hughes +5500, Ben Silverman +15000 and Roger Sloan +25000.

Mexico Open Golf Predictions

We like Taylor Pendrith for a Top 10, but the winner at +3500 is Brandon Wu. He has been third and second at the Mexico Open. The 27-year-old hasn’t won on the PGA Tour.