2023 PGA Championship: Picks, Predictions, Groups, Tee Times

Jon Rahm looks to Thursday morning’s tee-off at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York leading the way as a +800 favourite to claim a third career major tourney title after taking home the green jacket at last month’s Masters Tournament. However, golf betting fans can find plenty of value among the hundreds of props and head-to-head bets available on the second major tournament of the season. 

Here’s a look at some of the best bets to consider this weekend at the 2023 PGA Championship

Veterans Look to Build on Past Success at Oak Hill 

This year marks return of the PGA Championship to Oak Hill for the first time since 2013. Jason Dufner earned the victory at this tourney 10 years ago, but this year’s edition features several players who turned in impressive performance the last time this tourney was held in Rochester.

Adam Scott competed in each of the past two editions of the PGA Championship held at Oak Hill. The 42-year-old Australian claimed a share of 23^rd place back in 2003, and also shared the first-round lead before settling for fifth place in 2013. While he stumbled to a 39^th-place finish last month at Augusta, Scott has since turned his season around with top-ten finishes at both the Wells Fargo Championship and last week’s Byron Nelson, and offers considerable value as a +605 bet to crack the top ten once again this weekend.

Scott also stands out as a high-value +451 bet to be the top Australian this weekend. However, he could face a stiff challenge from a fellow countryman who also performed well here in 2013, and who is coming off his first victory in five years.

Day on the Comeback Trail

After struggling with vertigo in recent weeks, Jason Day flashed vintage form while claiming the top of the leaderboard at last weekend’s Byron Nelson. The 35-year-old finished eighth at Oak Hill in 2013, and has recorded six top ten finishes at the PGA Championship including his lone career major win in 2015. 

Day’s resurgence has made him not only a +199 favourite to be this weekend’s top Australian and +548 chalk to be the top Rest of the World player. However, durability remains a concern. Day has kept a heavy schedule that has featured tournament appearances in each of the past two weeks. And while he has enjoyed steady success, he has managed to finish better than 35^th just once while playing a third tournament in as many weeks over the past three season.

Accordingly, the likeable Australian remains a solid +3600 bet to seize the first-round lead, but better betting options may emerge as the weekend progresses.

Can Phil Build on Masters Magic?

Phil Mickelson claimed an ounce of redemption in his return to the Masters last month. The 52-year-old legend rode a late-tournament resurgence to a second-place finish at Augusta. That performance has heightened interest in his return to the PGA Championship for the first time since he raised the Wanamaker Trophy two years ago.

That may encourage Lefty’s loyal betting fans to back him again this weekend. However, it is tough to overlook Mickelson’s uneven performances on the LIV Golf tour this season, where he has yet to crack the top ten in six appearances this season, capped by a dismal 45^th-place finish last weekend in Tulsa.

While his fans can be forgiven for backing him with as a +1200 bet to crack the top ten for the 10^th time in his illustrious career, it is likely that the greater value can be found in the short -122 odds of Lefty missing the cut amid the unusually brisk conditions expected this weekend at Oak Hill.

Picks: Adam Scott top ten finish (+605); Jason Day first round leader (+3600): Phil Mickelson miss the cut (-122)

Round 1, First Tee

7:00 a.m./12:25 p.m.: Shaun Micheel, Collierville, TN; Braden Shattuck, Aston, PA; Steven Alker, New Zealand

7:11 a.m./12:36 p.m.: Ben Griffin, Chapel Hill, NC; Chris French, Rockford, IL; Joel Dahmen, Scottsdale, AZ

7:22 a.m./12:47 p.m.: Wyatt Worthington II, Reynoldsburg, OH; Nico Echavarria, Colombia; Wyndham Clark, Denver, CO

7:33 a.m./12:58 p.m.: Tom Hoge, Fort Worth, TX; Ryan Fox, New Zealand; K.H. Lee, Republic of Korea

7:44 a.m./1:09 p.m.: Paul Casey, England; Adam Svensson, Canada; Beau Hossler, Mission Viejo, CA

7:55 a.m./1:20 p.m.: Zach Johnson, Cedar Rapids, IA; Kurt Kitayama, Las Vegas, NV; Sahith Theegala, Houston, TX

8:06 a.m./1:31 p.m.: Corey Conners, Canada; Ockie Strydom, South Africa; Joaquin Niemann, Chile

8:17 a.m./1:42 p.m.: Kevin Kisner, Aiken, SC; Jimmy Walker, San Antonio, TX; Padraig Harrington, Ireland

8:28 a.m./1:53 p.m.: Alex Noren, Sweden; J.T. Poston, Sea Island, GA; Mackenzie Hughes, Canada

8:39 a.m./2:04 p.m.: Lee Hodges, Athens, AL; Callum Tarren, England; David Lingmerth, Sweden

8:50 a.m./2:15 p.m.: Taylor Moore, Edmond, OK; Denny McCarthy, Jupiter, FL; Brendan Steele, Idyllwild, CA

9:01 a.m./2:26 p.m.: Jeremy Wells, Estero, FL; Justin Suh, San Jose, CA; Adri Arnaus, Spain

9:12 a.m./2:37 p.m.: Anthony Cordes, Johns Creek, GA; Mark Hubbard, The Woodlands, TX; Dean Burmester, South Africa

12:30 p.m./7:05 a.m.: Matt Cahill, Palm Beach Gardens, FL; Taylor Montgomery, Las Vegas, NV; Cam Davis, Australia

12:41 p.m./7:16 a.m.: Michael Block, Mission Viejo, CA; Hayden Buckley, Tupelo, MS; Taylor Pendrith, Canada

12:52 p.m./7:27 a.m.: Alex Beach, Stillwater, OK; Brendon Todd, Watkinsville, GA; Sihwan Kim, Las Vegas, NV

1:03 p.m./7:38 a.m.: Patrick Reed, The Woodlands, TX; Rasmus Hojgaard, Denmark; Nick Taylor, Canada

1:14 p.m./7:49 a.m.: Christiaan Bezuidenhout, South Africa; John Somers, Brooksville, FL; Chez Reavie, Scottsdale, AZ

1:25 p.m./8:00 a.m.: Tommy Fleetwood, England; Cameron Young, Scarborough, NY; Hideki Matsuyama, Japan

1:36 p.m./8:11 a.m.: Adam Scott, Australia; Max Homa, Valencia, CA; Tony Finau, Lehi, UT

1:47 p.m./8:22 a.m.: Xander Schauffele, San Diego, CA; Tyrrell Hatton, England; Dustin Johnson, Jupiter, FL

1:58 p.m./8:33 a.m.: Patrick Cantlay, Jupiter, FL; Rickie Fowler, Murrieta, CA; Phil Mickelson, Rancho Santa Fe, CA

2:09 p.m./8:44 a.m.: Alex Smalley, Greensboro, NC; Russell Henley, Columbus, GA; Mito Pereira, Chile

2:20 p.m./8:55 a.m.: Adam Hadwin, Canada; Matt Kuchar, Jupiter, FL; Talor Gooch, Edmond, OK

2:31 p.m./9:06 a.m.: Justin Rose, England; Billy Horschel, Ponte Vedra Beach, FL; Francesco Molinari, Italy

2:42 p.m./9:17 a.m.: Russell Grove, Coeur d’Alene, ID; Patrick Rodgers, Jupiter, FL; Ben Taylor, England

Round 2, 10th Tee

7:05 a.m./12:30 p.m.: Trey Mullinax, Birmingham, AL; Josh Speight, Locust Hill, VA; Kazuki Higa, Japan

7:16 a.m./12:41 p.m.: Adam Schenk, Vincennes, IN; Colin Inglis, Creswell, OR; Thriston Lawrence, South Africa

7:27 a.m./12:52 p.m.: Min Woo Lee, Australia; Andrew Putnam, University Place, WA; Emiliano Grillo, Argentina

7:38 a.m./1:03 p.m.: Harold Varner III, Gastonia, NC; Scott Stallings, Oak Ridge, TN; Nicolai Hojgaard, Denmark

7:49 a.m./1:14 p.m.: Steve Holmes, Simi Valley, CA; Adrian Otaegui, Spain; Davis Riley, Hattiesburg, MS

8:00 a.m./1:25 p.m.: Scottie Scheffler, Dallas, TX; Brooks Koepka, West Palm Beach, FL; Gary Woodland, Topeka, KS

8:11 a.m./1:36 p.m.: Rory McIlroy, Northern Ireland; Justin Thomas, Louisville, KY; Collin Morikawa, La Canada, CA

8:22 a.m./1:47 p.m.: Shane Lowry, Ireland; Jordan Spieth, Dallas, TX; Viktor Hovland, Norway

8:33 a.m./1:58 p.m.: Matt Fitzpatrick, England; Cameron Smith, Australia; Jon Rahm, Spain

8:44 a.m./2:09 p.m.: Luke Donald, England; Adrian Meronk, Poland; Yannik Paul, Germany

8:55 a.m./2:20 p.m.: Kenny Pigman, Norco, CA; Davis Thompson, St. Simons Island, GA; Maverick McNealy, Las Vegas, NV

9:06 a.m./2:31 p.m.: Keegan Bradley, Woodstock, VT; Jason Day, Australia; Bryson DeChambeau, Dallas, TX

9:17 a.m./2:42 p.m.: Jesse Droemer, Houston, TX; Matt NeSmith, Aiken, SC; Rikuya Hoshino, Japan

12:25 p.m./7:00 a.m.: Sam Ryder, Longwood, FL; Gabe Reynolds, Dallas, TX; Brandon Wu, Scarsdale, NY

12:36 p.m./7:11 a.m.: Sadom Kaewkanjana, Thailand; Ben Kern, Grove City, OH; Thorbjorn Olesen, Denmark

12:47 p.m./7:22 a.m.: Webb Simpson, Charlotte, NC; Y.E. Yang, Republic of Korea; Danny Willett, England

12:58 p.m./7:33 a.m.: Sepp Straka, Austria; Harris English, Sea Island, GA; Robert Macintyre, Scotland

1:09 p.m./7:44 a.m.: Thomas Pieters, Belgium; Keith Mitchell, St. Simons Island, GA; Pablo Larrazabal, Spain

1:20 p.m./7:55 a.m.: Lucas Herbert, Australia; Brian Harman, St. Simons Island, GA; Callum Shinkwin, England

1:31 p.m./8:06 a.m.: Tom Kim, Republic of Korea; Sam Burns, Shreveport, LA; Abraham Ancer, Mexico

1:42 p.m./8:17 a.m.: Sungjae Im, Republic of Korea; Chris Kirk, Athena, GA; Seamus Power, Ireland

1:53 p.m./8:28 a.m.: Si Woo Kim, Republic of Korea; Stephan Jaeger, Chattanooga, TN; Anirban Lahiri, India

2:04 p.m./8:39 a.m.: Victor Perez, France; Aaron Wise, Ellerbe, NC; Jordan Smith, England

2:15 p.m./8:50 a.m.: Chris Sanger, Red Hook, NY; J.J. Spaun, Scottsdale, AZ; David Micheluzzi, Australia

2:26 p.m./9:01 a.m.: Thomas Detry, Belgium; J.J. Killeen, Lubbock, TX; Matt Wallace, England

2:37 p.m./9:12 a.m.: Nick Hardy, Northbrook, IL; Greg Koch, Orlando, FL; Eric Cole, Delray Beach, FL