Stampeders vs. Lions Prediction: CFL Week 11 Point Spread, Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Oct 14, 2021

Michael Reilly, Lions, 2021

Recent history shows the Stamps enjoy facing off with the Lions. Calgary’s taken 14 of their last 17 meetings, and covered in 13 of their last 19 at B.C. Place.

Calgary
8-6
AT
October 16, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
BC Place Stadium
BC
5-9
Pointspread +2.5 -111
Moneyline +113
Over / Under o +44.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

Pointspread -2.5 -109
Moneyline -136
Over / Under u +44.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

A playoff position is up for grabs in BC Saturday night in the latest Bo Levi Mitchell–Michael Reilly showdown. Reilly got the upper hand in round one this season, as his 4-4 BC Lions defeated the 4-5 Calgary Stampeders 15-9 back in Week 2.

Mitchell threw a season-high four interceptions in the loss, and his turnover problem has lingered all season — he’s the only quarterback with double-digit picks. The Stamps are riding a two-game win streak but it’s been the defence showing out, not Bo Levi.

Kickoff at BC Place goes at 7 p.m. EST.

CFL Odds and Betting

Recent history shows the Stamps enjoy facing off with the Lions. Calgary’s taken 14 of their last 17 meetings, and covered in 13 of their last 19 at BC Place. The under’s on a 7-1 streak between these two clubs two, so there’s a lot of heavy trends.

Both clubs rank in the top four in points allowed this season too. BC’s dead last in net offence allowed, but their defence doesn’t break with just 10 offensive touchdowns allowed this season (second in the CFL). Calgary’s third in that category with 13 allowed.

Oddsmakers have the over-under set at 44.5, and the game an even pick’em.

Calgary Stampeders

When talking about Calgary’s back-to-back wins against Saskatchewan, the defence needs to get mentioned first. The Stamps held Saskatchewan to under 200 yards passing while on the road in Week 10, which is a major kudos to Brent Monson’s defence. The unit’s healthier, specifically getting veteran defensive back Jamar Wall back for the two victories.

Leading receiver Kamar Jorden was back practising as a limited participant Wednesday too, so the offence may be getting a much-needed boost. Markeith Ambles hauled in a 71-yard score on the first play of scrimmage last week but from there it was a lot of stalling and an offence ran through Ka’Deem Carey. The Stamps running back had 109 yards on 20 carries at Regina.

BC Lions

The Lions are rested off a bye but will be without leading receiver Lucky Whitehead who’s recovering from a broken hand. Aside from Whitehead, BC’s getting healthier as receiver Lemar Durant and defensive backs Jalon Edwards-Cooper and Marcus Sayles are back practising.

The bye should allow Reilly and Co. to regroup as well. The last time BC took the field they got slaughtered at home, losing 30-9 to Winnipeg. The Lions are 1-3 at home this season and then 3-1 on the road.

Saturday’s key matchup Saturday is the Lions’ offence versus Calgary’s D, as well as quarterback play. BC’s offence is tied for first in yards per play and has committed the fewest turnovers. When it matters, Reilly’s more likely to get the job done than Mitchell.

Who Will Win Stampeders vs. Lions?

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