Argonauts vs. Tiger-Cats Prediction: CFL Week 12 Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 30, 2018

Lirim Hajrullahu

Labour Day Weekend and Week 12 in the CFL conclude Monday night from Hamilton.

Toronto
4-14
AT
September 03, 2018, 6:30 PM ET
Tim Hortons Field
Hamilton
8-10
Pointspread +9.5 -115
Moneyline +280
Over / Under o +50.5

62%

Betting Action

38%

Pointspread -9.5 -105
Moneyline -360
Over / Under u +50.5

62%

Betting Action

38%

The Tiger-Cats as 8-point Sports Interaction favourites over the Toronto Argonauts.

Betting Analysis

Hamilton is the second-biggest favourite in Week 12 behind Ottawa at -16.5 vs. Montreal. The total of 51.5 for this game is the second-lowest. On the moneyline, the Ticats are -355 and Argonauts +275.

On the race to 10 points, Hamilton is -189 and Toronto +140. For the first team to score, the Ticats are -167 with a touchdown at +260. The Argos are +140 to take the first lead with a touchdown at +400. On the winning margin prop, Hamilton by 7-12 points (+375), 13-18 points (+425), 1-6 points (+475) and 19-24 points (+600) are all favoured over Toronto by 1-6 (+650).

It’s the first of three regular-season meeting between the teams. The play at BMO Field next Saturday and then again in Week 18. The clubs did play in Hamilton in the pre-season opener for both with the Argos prevailing 36-18. McLeod Bethel-Thompson, then largely an afterthought QB for the Argos and now the starter, was 9-for-11 for 115 yards and two scores in limited action. Toronto led 26-6 at the half.

Toronto Argonauts

Last week, Toronto (3-6) was a favourite for just the second time all season but lost 25-22 at home to CFL-worst Montreal (without Johnny Manziel) to end a two-game winning streak. The Argos were outscored 9-0 in the fourth quarter, with Boris Bede kicking the go-ahead field goal with 1:10 to go. Toronto kicker Zack Medeiros’ 54-yarder as time expired hit the upright. Thompson played well again, completing 26 of 37 for 296 yards and a score. Armanti Edwards caught four balls for 114 yards and that touchdown. James Wilder Jr. was held to only 29 yards on nine carries.

Toronto made big news this week in signing two-time All-Star receiver Duron Carter, formerly of the Roughriders. However, Coach Marc Trestman said that Carter will not debut for the team until at least Week 15 (vs. his former team).

Hamilton Tiger-Cats

We projected that the Ticats (4-5) would fail to cover a 3.5-point home line last week vs. Edmonton and they did fail – but still won 25-24 coming off their bye. The Tiger-Cats rallied from a 24-10 halftime deficit, with Lirim Hajrullahu hitting the winning 29-yard field goal on the final play.

Hamilton had 557 yards of offence but too often settled for field goals – Hajrullahu was 4-for-5. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 419 yards but just one touchdown and two interceptions that were costly in the second quarter when the Ticats were outscored 24-0.  The Ticats’ defence then clamped down.

Argonauts vs. Tiger-Cats Prediction

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