Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty Prediction: WNBA Betting Odds
The defending WNBA champion New York Liberty have struggled mightily since starting the season 9-0. However, an 87-78 victory on Sunday over the league’s worst team, the Connecticut Sun, ended a season-high four-game losing streak.
New York is just 9-10 since that opening run and 18-10 overall. That is good for second place in the league standings, but 5.5 games behind the Minnesota Lynx. Seven-time All-Star Breanna Stewart is out indefinitely with a right-knee bone bruise. Meanwhile, Belgian forward Emma Meesseman just joined the team after winning her third straight EuroLeague Women’s MVP with Turkey’s Fenerbahce Safiport.
On Tuesday night, the Liberty host the 8-21 Dallas Wings, who are all about the future. Dallas depends heavily on Rookie-of-the-Year favourite Paige Bueckers. The Wings have lost eight of 10 coming into Tuesday night’s contest, but one of those wins was a 92-82 victory over the Liberty last week in Dallas.
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty WNBA Odds and Betting Trends
The Liberty just concluded a 1-3 road trip and are happy to return home to the Barclays Center. New York is just 10-14-1 against the spread this season, including 0-4-1 ATS in its last five games. But the team is 8-4-1 ATS at home, where it has won 17 of its last 22 meetings with the Wings.
New York is 5-1 straight up and against the spread in its last six home games, and the Liberty have won 5-of-6 overall.
Dallas has that 10-point victory over New York last week, but the Wings are 1-4 straight up and ATS in their last five road games. The Liberty swept all four meetings in 2024, winning the two games at home by an average of 14 points.
Dallas Wings
Bueckers has been the main bright spot for a franchise that has one playoff series win since moving to Dallas from Tulsa a decade ago. The UConn alum leads the Wings with 18.5 points and 5.5 assists per game, and also paces the team in steals and blocks. She has 12 performances of 20+ points and she owns the league record for most double-digit scoring games to start her career with 23.
Dallas, in a nod toward its future, just traded DiJonai Carrington (10.4 ppg, 5.1 rpg), an offseason pickup from the Sun, to the Minnesota Lynx. The Wings received 2023 No. 2 overall pick Diamond Miller, injured Karlie Samuelson and a 2026 second-round pick.
New York Liberty
Stewart’s absence is concerning for the Liberty’s championship-repeat hopes. The nine-year veteran is averaging 18.3 points and a team-high 6.5 rebounds, but there is no set time for her return as of yet. Jonquel Jones, who was recently out for a month with an ankle injury, returned after the All-Star break and is averaging 15.8 points and 7.4 rebounds since rejoining the lineup.
Meesseman, who won the 2019 WNBA Finals MVP award with the Washington Mystics and last played in the league in 2022 with the Chicago Sky, had 11 points and three assists against the Sun in her Liberty debut on Sunday.
WNBA Prediction: Who Will Win Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty?
The Liberty return to the comforts of home, where the team is 12-3 overall. As Meessaman gets more comfortable on the floor with her New York teammates, Stewart’s absence will hurt less and less. Long-term, the team won’t win without the two-time MVP, but the Liberty should handle Dallas at home in this matchup.
Look for New York to win, while Dallas should be able to cover the 10-point spread as underdogs. An 86-80 final score seems reasonable given both teams’ current conditions.
