Canada vs. Japan Odds: Women’s Soccer Betting Preview and Prediction

Saturday’s 3-0 loss showed the gap between the two sides, but it also gave Canada a clearer picture of where the rebuild stands. Japan looked confident and organized. Canada looked like a group still learning how to play the way Casey Stoney wants them to play. They get a rematch at Transcosmos Stadium, and the hope is that the lessons from the first meeting show up quickly.

Canada vs. Japan International Friendly Soccer Betting Preview

Japan enters as the solid favourite at about -175 on the moneyline. The draw sits around +260, and Canada is all the way out at +380. The total is set at 2.5 with the over priced slightly higher at -130.

Oddsmakers clearly expect Japan to control the match again. They were comfortable in possession last time, they created the better chances, and they rarely looked stretched. Canada has now gone more than 360 minutes without scoring, which is the main reason their price is so long. If you are looking for value, the under at -110 is probably the more balanced play. Canada will try to slow things down and tighten up after giving up three in the first matchup.

Team Canada 

Canada is still in the middle of a major reset. The results have not been pretty, but the coaching staff keeps pointing to the process rather than the scoreboard. With Casey Stoney back home dealing with a family situation, assistant coach Natalie Henderson is running the bench again. She has been open about where the group is headed. More comfort on the ball. More willingness to play through pressure. More structure in possession. None of that happens overnight.

The roster is also stretched. Olivia Smith is unavailable. Kadeisha Buchanan, Gabby Carle and Lysianne Proulx are out. Cloe Lacasse is only expected back next year. And D.B. Pridham made the trip but cannot play because her Canadian passport did not come through in time. That leaves Henderson rotating as much as she can. Vanessa Gilles could start after getting back on the field on Saturday. There should be more minutes coming for Jordyn Huitema, Julia Grosso and Evelyne Viens as Canada searches for attacking rhythm.

The challenge is creating anything dangerous in the final third. Canada spends long stretches defending, which makes it harder to build attacks of their own. There were small flashes in the first half on Saturday, but the consistency still isn’t there.

Team Japan 

Japan looked sharp from the opening whistle in the first match. They moved the ball quickly, found pockets of space, and forced Canada to defend for long stretches. That is nothing new for them. They are one of the most technically polished sides in the world, and when they control the rhythm, they can be very hard to disrupt.

This is a team that rarely beats itself. They defend well as a unit and break forward with purpose. Saturday’s meeting showed how comfortable they are switching play, attacking wide areas, and combining through tight channels. Canada struggled to keep up with those rotations, and Japan will stick to the same approach until Canada proves they can slow it down.

Canada vs. Japan Prediction

Canada should look a bit steadier after seeing Japan up close, and they will be desperate to avoid ending the year with a five-game slide. A better performance is possible, but closing the gap in only three days is a tough ask. Japan is healthier, further along in their system, and far more consistent in the final third.

Prediction: Japan 2 Canada 0