Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
Get ready for another round of Group F matches with bottom-of-the-group Tunisia taking on the frontrunners of the Netherlands.
Tunisia is officially eliminated from this year’s World Cup, although a win would still be inspiring. Netherlands, on the other hand, will need a victory and as many goals as possible to place first out of their group ahead of Japan.
It all comes down to the last week of group stage play, so don’t miss out on the 7 p.m. ET kickoff this Thursday.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Tunisia vs. Netherlands FIFA World Cup: How to Watch and Match Info
- June 25, 7 p.m. ET at Kansas City Stadium, KS, USA
- Streaming on TSN, TSN+.
- The forecast in the area indicates 22°C temperatures, 90 per cent humidity, and an
85 per cent chance of rain.
Tunisia vs. Netherlands Betting Odds
This is a must-win for the Netherlands, who come into this matchup at -750 odds to win, while Tunisia’s chances stand at +1900 as the night’s major underdogs. A draw is set for +800, and with goals an essential part of this matchup, the over 2.5 is priced at -220 and the under 2.5 at +175.
Tunisia vs. Netherlands Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Tunisia predicted starting XI (5-3-2):
– Sebastian Toiunekti (ST) – Elias Saad (ST) –
Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida (CM) – Ellyes Skhiri (CM) – Hannibal Mejbri (CM)
Ali Abdi (LWB) – Dylan Bronn (LCB) – Montassar Talbi (CB) – Omar Rekik (RCB) –
Yan Valery (RWB)
— Aymen Dahmen (GK) —
At this point, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Tunisia change up their formation completely after losing their last four straight games in all competitions, and both their group stage matches so far. They can’t progress to the next round, but they will still want a solid defensive setup against their European opponents, likely resulting in a five-back shape.
Netherlands predicted starting XI (4-3-3):
– Cody Gakpo (LW) – Brian Brobbey (CF) – Crysencio Summerville (RW) –
Tijani Reijnders (CM) – Frenkie de Jong (CM) – Ryan Gravenberch (CM)
Micky van de Ven (LB) – Virgil van Dijk (CB) – Jan Paul van Hecke (CB) – Denzel
Dumfries (RB)
— Bart Verbruggen (GK) —
The Netherlands side will need to exert the same brilliance as they did against Sweden to finish first out of their group. The swap of Crysencio Summerville for Brian Brobbey with Donyell Malen pushed out wide on the right provided a lot more attacking threat in the team’s 4-3-3 formation. The only real change for this one could be that Summerville gets the start over Malen, but their midfield and defence will surely be the same.
Tunisia FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Sadly, the Northern African squad is eliminated from the 2026 World Cup after allowing nine goals in just two games against Sweden and Japan. The team’s centre-back, Omar Rekik, scored their only goal of the tournament, so the side will definitely look to go out with a bang by scoring at least one more, although a win is highly unlikely.
This is Tunisia’s last World Cup game for at least the next four years, so we could see more energy out of the side as part of their last-ditch effort to try and down a top-contender European opponent. While Elias Saad and Firas Chaouat both take the top anytime goalscorer spot for their team, their odds to score are very low at +750 each.
Netherlands FIFA World Cup Odds and News
The Netherlands expertly bounced back from their 2-2 draw to Japan with a 5-1 crushing win over Sweden, proving that they are capable of doing damage this tournament. Even though they were completely outshot by Sweden, 21-2, Ronald Koeman’s side stayed defensively sound, waiting for their opportunities, allowing them to tuck away five of their seven chances on goal.
The team sits tied with Japan on GD, so they will absolutely need to put the pedal down against Tunisia. There’s no doubt there will be an abundance of goal scorers here, with Memphis Depay leading the way in scoring anytime at -105, followed by Cody Gakpo and his two goals already at +100.
Tunisia vs. Netherlands Player Odds and Props
Cody Gakpo (NED) to score anytime (+100)
The Liverpool winger is nothing less than dangerous on the left flank, and with two goals to his name already against tough competition, he’s sure to score here against Tunisia.
Aymen Dahmen (TUN) to record 5+ saves (-130)
Aymen Dahmen’s goal will be bombarded in this matchup, and while he won’t be able to keep all out of the net, he’s sure to finally have a respectable game with at least five saves.
World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
Group Winner – Netherlands (-310)
Odds to qualify – Netherlands (-1400)
Odds to win the World Cup – Netherlands (+1400)
Tunisia vs. Netherlands Score Prediction
A Netherlands win is the anticipated result, but the scoreline may be a bit harder to predict. If Tunisia wants to exit this tournament with pride, they’ll have to score at least one goal, but the Europeans have only allowed three so far, both against solid opponents. The Netherlands won’t be holding back or resting their starters either, so overall, count on a 4-1 win for the Europeans as they qualify first out of their group, assuming Japan doesn’t win against Sweden by more than a three-goal margin.