4 Nations Face-off Prediction: Team Finland vs. Team Sweden Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Feb 14, 2025

After a one-day break, the 4 Nations Face-Off resumes on Saturday in Montreal with Finland and Sweden facing off for their second match of the event.

Team Finland
0-0-0
AT
February 15, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
Team Sweden
0-0-0
Puckline +1.5 -145
Moneyline +195
Over / Under o +5.5
Puckline -1.5 +120
Moneyline -235
Over / Under u +5.5

Both teams are seeking their first win. The Swedes are -205 favourites with a total of 5.5 goals on the 4 Nations Face-off odds board. 

Team Finland vs. Team Sweden NHL Betting Odds

There are two 4 Nations matchups from Montreal on Saturday in Finland-Sweden at 1 p.m. ET and then the marquee game of this round and a likely championship preview with the United States facing Canada at 8 ET. Then the tournament shifts to Boston for the final two round-robin games on Monday followed by next Thursday’s title matchup that most likely will feature the Americans and Canadians after both won their openers. Sweden is now +650 to win the tournament and Finland +2200.

It’s the eighth time Finland is playing in some version of an NHL international tournament after four Canada Cup appearances and entries at all three World Cup of Hockey events. The Finns reached the playoff round in three of those seven and one final, losing to 3-2 against Canada in the 2004 World Cup of Hockey.

There are only two countries to have reached the playoff round in six consecutive NHL international tournaments dating to the 1984 Canada Cup: Sweden and Canada. The Swedes, Americans and Canadians are three of four countries with multiple Olympic gold medals in men’s hockey. In Olympics where NHL players competed, Sweden medaled twice with a gold in 2006 and silver in 2014 – the last time NHL players were at the Games. They will return in 2026 in Italy.

Team Finland

Finland was considered the weakest side of the tournament, especially after losing top defencemen Rasmus Ristolainen (Flyers), Miro Heiskanen (Stars) and Jani Hakanpaa (Maple Leafs) from the team’s original roster due to injury. That weak blueline showed Thursday in the Finns’ 6-1 loss to the USA. Finland did play well for two periods, but the talent discrepancy showed in the third when the Americans scored four times. Henri Jokiharju (Sabres) scored the first goal of the game, but Juuse Saros (Predators) allowed six straight after that for Finland. He gave up four goals on 12 shots in the third: two in the first 26 seconds, and another three minutes in. It was always a questionable choice by Finland coach Antti Pennanen to start Saros simply as he had been struggling so much recently and really all season for Nashville. Pennanen didn’t commit to Saros for Saturday, and we’d guess that it’s Vancouver’s Kevin Lankinen for this one. 

Team Sweden

The Swedes were sizable underdogs for their opener against Canada in the tournament’s first game Wednesday but “stole” a point with a 4-3 overtime loss. We say stole a point because Team Canada was the significantly better team and led 2-0 after one and 3-1 after two. Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild) had the tying goal at 8:59 of the third. Jonas Brodin (Wild) and Adrian Kempe (Kings) had the other Sweden goals. Lucas Raymond (Red Wings) had two helpers. Swedish goalie Filip Gustavsson (Wild) played great, but it’s not clear if he will get another turn Saturday or if coach Sam Hallam will opt to go with former Vezina winner Linus Ullmark (Senators) or Samuel Ersson (Flyers). Ullmark hasn’t played a ton of hockey of late as he missed a chunk of NHL time injured, while Ersson was only an injury replacement for likely Sweden No. 1 Jacob Markstrom (Devils). The Swedes’ strength is their blueline led by former Norris Trophy winner Victor Hedman (Lightning) and Erik Karlsson (Penguins) as well as former No. 1 overall pick Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres). 

Who Will Win Team Finland vs. Team Sweden?

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