4 Nations Face-Off Odds, Prediction: Team Canada vs. Team Sweden

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 11, 2025

4 Nations McDavid

Canada kicks off the 4 Nations Face-Off with a battle against Sweden at the Bell Centre on Wednesday night.

Team Canada
0-0-0
AT
February 12, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
Team Sweden
0-0-0
Puckline +1.5 -120
Moneyline +200
Over / Under o +6
Puckline -1.5 +100
Moneyline -250
Over / Under u +6

There’s not as many teams as fans wanted, but the 4 Nations Face-Off still best-on-best international hockey after years of nothing. The crowd at the Bell Centre should be rowdy on Wednesday as Canada opens the tournament against Sweden.

The Canadians are -250 favourites on the 4 Nations Face-Off odds, while the total is pegged at 6.0.

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Team Canada vs. Team Sweden NHL Betting Odds

Canada opens the tournament as a slight +145 favourite, leading USA (+150), Sweden (+450) and Finland (+1000). The main reason Canada is a slight favourite, is likely the historical success the program has had.

Team Canada won gold in three of the last four Olympics with NHL participation, including the last two in Vancouver (2010) and Sochi (2014).

Remember, though, of the last four Olympics with NHL participation, Sweden is the only other nation to win gold in Turin (2006). Sweden also won silver at the 2014 Sochi Olympics, falling 3-0 to Canada in the final.

Oddsmakers are expecting a big tournament from Connor McDavid. He’s favoured to lead the tournament in points (+600) and he has the second-shortest odds to lead the tournament in goals (+1100).

If you think Sweden can make a run to the championship game, William Nylander is great value at +2200 to lead the tournament in goals.

Team Canada

Canada’s top forward lines are expected to be Connor McDavid with Mitch Marner and Sam Reinhart, followed by Nathan MacKinnon with Sidney Crosby and Mark Stone. That plethora of offensive firepower gets even scarier when you look at their PP1 unit, which consists of McDavid, MacKinnon, Crosby, Reinhart and Cale Makar. I don’t care how many question marks you have surrounding Canada’s goaltending, other teams can’t score if the likes of McDavid and Makar are whipping the puck around at the other end of the ice.

And speaking of Canada’s goaltending, we finally have a starter announced between Jordan Binnington, Adin Hill and Sam Montembeault. Head coach Jon Cooper announced on Tuesday that Binnington will start and Hill will back him up. He also added he won’t be going with a rotation, so Binnington is the man going forward. The 31-year-old is the more expereinced option, playing almost the same amount of career NHL games as Hill and Montembeault combined. Binnington hasn’t been spectacular this season, posting a 2.89 goals-against average and .896 save percentage, but he’s also playing on a St. Louis team that gives up a lot of high-danger shots.

Team Sweden

Team Sweden has practiced with a top line of Elias Pettersson, Filip Forsberg and Adrian Kempe, followed by Mika Zibanejad, Rickard Rakell and William Nylander. They should also be able to boast some well-balanced defensive pairings. Victor Hedman and Jonas Brodin will anchor the top unit, but there’s a nice blend of defensive sturcture, along with offensive potential with the likes of Erik Karlsson and Rasmus Dahlin.

Sweden had bad luck with the loss of Jacob Markstrom to injury, but they still have capable options in net with Linus Ullmark, Filip Gustavsson and Samuel Ersson. The starter against Canada should be Ullmark or Gustavsson. Ullmark has only played two games (.917 SV in those games) since retuning from a back injury that caused him to miss 18 games. Unfortunately, Gustavsson has struggled in 2025, posting an .896 SV since Jan. 1. It’s a tough call for who Sweden will trust in Game 1 against Canada.

4 Nations Face-Off Prediction: Who Will Win Team Canada vs. Team Sweden?

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