4 Nations Face-Off Odds, Prediction: Team Canada vs. Team Finland

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 17, 2025

NHL: 4 Nations Face Off-USA vs Canada

A regulation win for either Canada or Finland on Monday will clinch a spot in the 4 Nations Face-Off final.

Team Canada
0-0-0
AT
February 17, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
TD Garden
Team Finland
0-0-0
Puckline -1.5 -185
Moneyline -500
Over / Under o +6
Puckline +1.5 +140
Moneyline +380
Over / Under u +6

After a 3-1 loss to the Americans, Canada is in do-or-die territory on Monday. To clinch a spot against the United States in the 4 Nations Face-Off final, Team Canada needs to win in regulation on Monday. The Canadians can also clinch if they win in overtime or a shootout and Sweden does not beat the U.S. in regulation. It’s the same clinching scenario for Finland following a 4-3 overtime win against the Swedes.

For more detailed info, you can check out our full list of 4 Nations Face-Off clinching scenarios for Monday, Feb. 17.

Canada is a significant -450 favourite to win against the Finns on the 4 Nations Face-Off odds, with the total pegged at 6.5.

Team Canada vs. Team Finland 4 Nations Face-Off Betting Odds

The updated 4 Nations Face-off futures board lists the United States at a -160 favourite, followed by Canada at +155. Canada’s 4 Nations odds have remained right around the +140 to +150 range since before the beginning of the tournament.

For the first time this tournament, Finland doesn’t have the longest 4 Nations Face-Off odds as they enter the final day of the round-robin at +1700 to win, while Sweden is last at +4000. Finland started the tournament at +1000, trailing the Swedes at +450.

After allowing only two total goals over the first two games of the tournament, American Connor Hellebuyck is the new favourite to win 4 Nations Face-Off tournament MVP at +200. Canadian Connor McDavid and American Jake Guentzel are next at +500 each.

Team Canada

After three fights in the first nine seconds, it’s safe to say the intensity was racked up as high as it could get between Canada and the U.S. on Saturday. Connor McDavid gave the Canadians an early 1-0 lead, but that was the extent of the offence for the home country, although they did hold a slight 28-25 edge in shots for the game. Canada was missing No. 1 defenceman Cale Makar due to illness. Makar is a game-time decision again on Monday.

The other major question mark for the Canadians is who will get the start in net. Jordan Binnington has posted an .896 save percentage through two games of the tournament, which has some people calling for Adin Hill to get the start on Monday. While there has been no announcement on a starter, it seems likely Hill will get the call. In 34 games with the Vegas Golden Knights this season, Hill is 20-10-4 with a 2.64 goals-against average and .900 SV.

Team Finland

The Finns kept their tournament hopes alive in a massive rivalry game against Sweden on Saturday. Mikael Granlund was the OT hero, while Aleksander Barkov, Mikko Rantanen and Anton Lundell also scored in the win. Kevin Lankinen stopped 21 of 24 shots faced after replacing Juuse Saros as Finland’s starter. Lankinen will also get the nod against Canada. Finland is in a much better place than after the first game of the tournament. The Finns were routed 6-1 by the United States, with Saros posting an .812 SV in the game.

4 Nations Face-Off Prediction: Who Will Win Team Canada vs. Team Finland?

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