Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 26, 2023

The Golden Knights will have another chance to punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final, when they host the Stars in Game 5 of the Western Conference Final.

Dallas
47-21-11-3
AT
May 27, 2023, 8:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
Vegas
51-22-5-4
Puckline +1.5 -208
Moneyline +133
Over / Under o +5.5

30%

Betting Action

70%

Puckline -1.5 +173
Moneyline -162
Over / Under u +5.5

30%

Betting Action

70%

The Golden Knights saw their opportunity to sweep the Stars slip away with Thursday’s 3-2 overtime loss in Dallas, cutting their series lead to 3-1.

The Golden Knights return home perched as -146 favourites on the NHL Game 5 odds, while the Stars trail as +120 underdogs in their bid to once again extend the series. As it was in the first four games of the series, the total is pegged at 5.5 in Saturday’s contest. Vegas also remains perched as massive -909 chalk on the NHL playoff series prices while the Stars are a distant +668 to complete the comeback and win the series.

Stars vs. Golden Knights NHL Playoff Betting Odds

Vegas is pegged as betting chalk for a third straight game, and has so far avoided posting consecutive defeats in these playoffs. Conversely, the Stars has mustered consecutive wins just once in their past 11 games, and haven’t recorded three straight wins since the first round. The trend towards low scoring continued in Game 4, with the UNDER prevailing for the third time in as many games. Overall, these club have combined to score just over five total gals per game in the series, with Vegas enjoying a 13-8 overall edge. The winning team has scored first just once so far in the series, with the matters getting decided in overtime on three occasions. 

Dallas Stars

Joe Pavelski had failed to record a point in three of his previous four outings, but ended that drought with the game winner in overtime on Thursday. However, Pavelski has yet to fully regain the form he flashed earlier in the playoffs, most notably his eight-goal outburst against Seattle in the second round. Jason Robertson turned in his best performance of the postseason, scoring twice on 11 total shots, and now has four goals in the series..

The club also received a lift from Jake Oettinger’s steady performance in Game 4. The Dallas Stars struggled to make big saves in the first three games of the series, and got the hook after allowing two goals on the first five shots he faced in Game 3. Stars fans held their breath after Oettinger gave up another early goal on Thursday. However, he was steady the rest of the way, particularly in the third period while stopping all 14 shots he faced.

Vegas Golden Knights

The veterans also stepped up for the Golden Knights in Game 4, with William Karlsson and Jonathan Marchessault burying the club’s two goals on the night. The duo now shares the team lead in goals scored this spring, each with eight. Karlsson has three goals so far in the series but has found the back of the net in just one of his past five home appearances. Marchessault has scored in each of the past three games and has racked up eight goals and 12 points over his past eight outings.

Once again, Adin Hill was steady in the crease. Hill turned aside 39 of 42 shots including 18 of 19 during a busy second period, and takes a 6-2 playoff record with a 2.07 goals against average and .938 save percentage into Saturday’s contest, and has emerged as an intriguing+1755 dark horse on the odds to claim this season’s Conn Smythe Trophy. 

Game 5 Prediction: Who Will Win Stars vs. Golden Knights?

The Stars did what they had to do to extend the series. But while they dictated pace for lengthy stretches, it was far from a dominant offensive performance. Expect the result of Game 5 to once again hinge on a huge goaltending display, with Vegas backstop Adin Hill inspiring sufficient confidence to back the Golden Knights.

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