Laying -275 with the Edmonton Oilers. Who would have figured that would even be a possibility in a disastrous season for Edmonton where they’ve already fired their head coach and general manager?
Much of it has to do with the fact that the league’s worst team is in town this weekend.
Senators vs Oilers Betting Analysis
The Senators are just 9-27-1 on the road so far this season. They’ve lost five straight away games and nine of 10. Ottawa is also just 1-5 in its last six games against Western Conference opponents overall.
Edmonton is just 17-17-1 on home ice so far this season. The Oilers haven’t been favored very often but they are 4-1 in their last five as a favorite. They’re also 6-2 in their last eight as a favorite of -201 or more.
Ottawa Senators Showing Signs of Life
The Sens surprised many with back-to-back wins over the St. Louis Blues and Toronto Maple Leafs last week. However, they followed those victories up with back-to-back losses to the Vancouver Canucks and Calgary Flames in which they were outscored by a combined 12-5 score. The Senators have been the worst road team in the NHL this season and that trend will likely continue against a desperate Edmonton side. Goaltender Anders Nilsson has shown flashes during his time with Ottawa but he gave up six goals on 39 shots against Vancouver in his last start. The Senators don’t have the firepower to keep up with higher scoring teams.
The good news is that the Oilers have dropped three of five and probably don’t deserve to be favored by this much against anyone in the league. They have given up six goals or more in their last three losses, so it’s not as if they don’t have problems of their own right now.
Oilers’ Defense Needs Improvement
As mentioned, the Oilers biggest issues right is keeping the puck out of their own net. The issue seems to be the three-goal mark as when the Oilers lose, they tend to get bombed. They’ve lost 28 straight games when allowing three goals or more. That makes the play of Mikko Koskinen quite crucial.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have been on fire all season and will be eager to get a shot to play Ottawa. McDavid is currently second in the NHL with 107 points, while Draisaitl is fourth in the league with 94 points this season. These guys should be the difference in the game. It’s tough to recommend laying this type of juice with the Oilers but they should win.