Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Nov 28, 2023

The Leafs will have yet another chance to avenge their stunning second round loss to Florida in last spring’s NHL playoffs when they host the Panthers at Scotiabank Arena.

November 28, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 -210
Moneyline +110
Over / Under o +6.5
Puckline -1.5 +170
Moneyline -135
Over / Under u +6.5

The Leafs were bounced from the postseason by the Panthers in just five games, and have and lost four straight to Florida on home ice. The Panthers arrive in Toronto on the heels of Monday’s lopsided 5-0 win in Ottawa, and will be vying for a third straight win when playing in the second of two games played on consecutive nights.

The Maple Leafs are pegged as -135 home favourites in their bid to end their four-game home losing streak against the Panthers, and are listed as an attractive +170 puckline wager. The Panthers trail as +110 underdogs on the NHL moneyline, while -120 odds favour the total going OVER 6.5.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL Betting Odds

In addition to seeking vengeance for last season’s playoff ouster, the Maple Leafs will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak on Tuesday night. The Leafs have been idle since wrapping up a four-game road trip with Saturday’s 3-2 loss in Pittsburgh, but have picked up at least a point in 11 of 14 games including wins in three of their past four at Scotiabank Arena. However, the Leafs have been consistently frustrated in clashes with Florida, scoring just 15 total goals while losing six of eight overall, capped by a 3-1 road loss back on October 19. The Panthers overcame a recent scoring drought in Monday’s rout of the Senators. Florida shooters scored just one total goal during a preceding two-game slide, and have failed to score more than two goals in four of six outings. Accordingly, the UNDER has gone 5-1 over that stretch. However, the Panthers have shutdown opponents during a 3-1 run on the road, surrendering just nine total goals over that stretch.  

Florida Panthers

The Panthers have allowed just two goals per game during their current 3-3-0 run, and on Tuesday, it will be backup Anthony Stolarz’ turn to confound opposing shooters. Stolarz has allowed just four total goals while winning each of his past two starts, and has limited opponents to just one goal in two of his three victories to date. Sam Reinhart provided the offensive spark against Ottawa, scoring a pair of power play markers including the game winner to halt a four-game scoring drought, and has seen nine of his 15 goals to date come on the road. Of course, all eyes will be on Leafs nemesis Matthew Tkachuk, who played a huge role in Toronto’s playoff failure while racking up five assists. In addition to piling up 11 penalty minutes, Tkachuk chipped in a helper on Monday, but with just one point in six games, he offers value as a +155 bet to be held pointless on Tuesday.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs currently enjoy a productive 5-2-1 run, but have failed to dominate, with five of their past six games getting settled by just a single goal. After enjoying an epic 17-game points streak to start the season, William Nylander was held off the scoresheet in the club’s two recent defeats. Auston Matthews has also struggled while failing to record a point in five of his past six appearances. However, members of the supporting cast have stepped up. Matthew Knies potted his third goal in five games while tallying a season-high five shots in Saturday’s loss to Pittsburgh. Tyler Bertuzzi has contributed a goal and five points over the past five games, while rearguard Morgan Rielly has compiled four points in three games. Considering that Nylander and Matthews have combined to score 18 total goals in nine home games to date, the Leafs could be poised to bust out in their first home date in 17 days.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Panthers vs. Maple Leafs?