Edmonton Oilers vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Apr 07, 2021

This is easily the most lopsided season series in the NHL this year.  The Oilers have won all seven meetings against Ottawa and blown them out by a combined score of 34-15. 

Edmonton
25-15-2
AT
April 07, 2021, 5:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa
14-26-3-1
Puckline -1.5 +118
Moneyline -213
Over / Under o +6.5

90%

Betting Action

10%

Puckline +1.5 -142
Moneyline +177
Over / Under u +6.5

90%

Betting Action

10%

The Oilers and Senators will finish their regular season series with a two-game set in Ottawa on Wednesday and Thursday.  Originally scheduled to have a day off between games, the schedule was adjusted as a result of the COVID outbreak running through the Vancouver Canucks lineup.

Edmonton opened as a –185 favourite on the NHL odds with a total of 6.0.

Oilers vs. Senators Betting Analysis

This is easily the most lopsided season series in the NHL this year.  The Oilers have won all seven meetings against Ottawa and blown them out by a combined score of 34-15.  If you’re wondering why the over/under isn’t higher for this game, it’s worth noting the total was set at 6.5 in all seven previous games and the Over only hit three times.

Edmonton has been just as successful on the road as they have been at home.  The Oilers are 19-20 against the spread and have covered in 10 of their 18 road games.  It looks like they’re starting to lock things down defensively, as they have the two top scorers in the NHL, but have been an Under team in four of their last five games.

This season hasn’t been kind to Ottawa.  They’ve lost all seven games against Edmonton this year and have only managed an 8-7-4 record at home.  The Sens are a little better at covering, going 22-17 ATS.  They’ve been an Under team in six of their last eight games and five straight home games.

Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton is solidly in a playoff position, but they’re slowly falling out of the picture when it comes to winning the North Division.  They do, however, have a comfortable five-point lead over Montreal for third place in the division and they have a great shot at home ice advantage in the playoffs, only trailing Winnipeg by a single point.  The Oilers are coming off a 3-2 overtime loss to Montreal on Monday, so these two games against Ottawa will be a great chance to pick up four points and create more separation in the standings.

It’s the usual suspects when it comes to scoring for Edmonton against Ottawa.  Leon Draisaitl is giving Sens’ goalies nightmares, putting up 17 points (7G, 10A) in seven games.  Connor McDavid has added 16 points (3G, 13A) and five of Darnell Nurse‘s career-high 13 goals on the season have come against Ottawa.  The Oilers are about to make life even tougher over the next couple days for Ottawa.

Ottawa Senators

No one is pretending the Senators really had much of a playoff chance this year, so it’s not too surprising to see them drop two of their last three games.  They sit 25 points back of Toronto for the North Division lead and 13 points back of Montreal for the last playoff spot.  The Sens are struggling all over the ice.  Ottawa averages 2.62 goals scored per game (23rd in the NHL) and allows 3.72 (31st).  Their special teams aren’t any better.  Ottawa has the 26th ranked power play and 23rd ranked penalty kill.

It’s not all doom and gloom for the Senators though, as you have to look at this as a growth year.  They have a young core group of players who are all developing strongly.  Their leaders in goals, points, time on ice, goals-against average and save percentage are all under the age of 24 and will only continue to develop.  They’re also seeing breakout campaigns from Tim Stutzle (6G, 14A) and Josh Norris (9G, 11A), who are both tied for third in the rookie scoring race.  Believe it or not, the Sens do have a bright future.  We just don’t see it helping much in this game or this season.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Oilers vs. Senators?

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