Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 12, 2021

Frederik Andersen will return to the Toronto Maple Leafs’ crease for the first time since March 19 when his Leafs visit Ottawa Wednesday for their final game with the Senators this season.

May 12, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Puckline -1.5 +125
Moneyline -188
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline +1.5 -150
Moneyline +157
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


Toronto’s already won the North Division, their first division title since 1999–2000, so with two games remaining on their regular season slate it makes for a prime chance for Andersen to get playoff ready. The Sens have been eliminated and are tied for fifth in the North but who’s to say they wouldn’t enjoy sending Toronto into the post-season on a bad note.

Puck drop at the Canadian Tire Centre is 8 p.m. EST.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Analysis

The Maple Leafs have taken four of the last five games against the Senators, but they haven’t played each other in over a month. The last time these Ontario clubs met, Toronto escaped with a 6-5 win — the second 6-5 Toronto–Ottawa game this season. It also marked the third time in eight meetings that Toronto put up five markers on the Sens.

The Leafs are averaging nearly four goals per game over their last 10 against Ottawa, but the Sens are pushing back with a 3.1 goals per game average themselves during that span. On the flip side, goals have been harder to come by in Ottawa this season with the under being 17-8-2 in their 27 home games thus far.

Toronto’s a -189 moneyline favourite to win on the NHL odds, with the over-under listed at 6.5.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto head coach Sheldon Keefe also confirmed on Tuesday that Nick Foligno and Justin Holl will be game-time decisions in Ottawa, and Zach Hyman and Riley Nash remain out with knee injuries. Since the Maple Leafs are gearing up for the playoffs, expect Keefe to be extra cautious with putting heavy minutes on his top guys.

And by top guys, it’s primarily Auston Matthews, who has 40 goals in 50 games played. Matthews is on a six-game point streak, and just had a five-game goal-scoring streak snapped. He’s sixth in NHL scoring with 65 points, two behind teammate Mitch Marner, who is fourth with 67.

Ottawa Senators

At 7-2-1 over their last ten games, Ottawa is one of the hottest teams in the NHL. They were most recently humbled via a 6-1 loss in Calgary on Sunday night, but it was all also the latter half of back-to-back road games. Prior to the loss, the Sens collected three straight wins versus Winnipeg and Montreal by a combined score of 11-3.

With one game to go, the race for Ottawa’s top scorer is coming down to the wire. It currently belongs to Brady Tkachuk with 35 points, but Connor Brown, Josh Norris, and Drake Batherson are all at 34 points.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Senators?