Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 05, 2021

The Ottawa Senators get their first crack in over a year at the defending Stanley Cup champions as they host the Tampa Bay Lightning in a Saturday matinee.

Tampa Bay
51-23-3-5
AT
November 06, 2021, 2:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa
33-42-5-2
Puckline -1.5 +133
Moneyline -153
Over / Under o +6

88%

Betting Action

12%

Puckline +1.5 -160
Moneyline +127
Over / Under u +6

88%

Betting Action

12%

The two-time defending Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay Lightning make their first visit of the season to Ottawa on Saturday afternoon.

The Bolts are heavy favourites to win on the NHL odds and a total of 6.5 goals.

Lightning vs. Senators NHL Betting Odds

This is the lone matinee game on Saturday’s NHL schedule and the first of four meetings between the teams; they didn’t play last season. Even though the Lightning have been light years better than the Senators in recent years, the season series hasn’t been too lopsided. Ottawa got one victory in three tries in the 2019-20 campaign, for example.

Tampa Bay remains without one of the best offensive players in the NHL in former Hart Trophy winner Nikita Kucherov. The Russian, who also led the past two post-seasons in points while leading the Lightning to back-to-back Stanley Cups, will miss another eight weeks or so after surgery for a lower-body injury. He also missed the entirety of last regular season before returning for the playoffs. No Kucherov means more of a burden on Markham native Steven Stamkos.

The Lightning are 4-1 in their past five in Ottawa. The over is 5-1 in the previous six there.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning’s three-game winning streak ended in a 2-1 overtime loss in Toronto on Thursday. Patrick Maroon (first goal of season) gave the Bolts at 1-0 lead at 13:16 of the first but the Leafs tied it with 41 seconds left in regulation and goaltender Jack Campbell pulled for an extra attacker. William Nylander won it at 2:43 of OT on the power play. Tampa hadn’t scored fewer than three goals in its three-game winning streak. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed two goals on 34 to fall to 5-2-2 with a 2.40 GAA and .919 SV.

This writer believes there’s a decent chance that backup Brian Elliott starts Saturday, though, with the early puck drop and that Vasilevskiy has started four in a row. Elliott lost his lone start thus far, 5-1 in Buffalo on Oct. 25. Tampa Bay is 9-4 in its past 13 as a road favourite.

Ottawa Senators

The Sens lost their third in a row and sixth in the past seven on Thursday, 5-1 at home to an injury-ravaged Vegas Golden Knights team. Brady Tkachuk had the lone goal, his second, but Ottawa was already down 3-0 at that point. Blueliner Nikita Zaitsev didn’t play due to an illness – not COVID-related as of now but obviously something to monitor as there is apparently a bit of a bug going around the team. Filip Gustavsson allowed four goals on 38 shots in his second straight poor outing so it most likely will not be him in net Saturday but perhaps Matt Murray, who was tagged for five goals Monday in a loss at Chicago. The Senators are 7-2 in their past nine following a loss of three or more goals.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Senators?

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