Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers Game 5 Prediction, NHL Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 08, 2022

The New York Rangers have two key injuries to monitor ahead of Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday.

Tampa Bay
51-23-3-5
AT
June 09, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
NY Rangers
52-24-3-3
Puckline -1.5 +207
Moneyline -127
Over / Under o +5.5

45%

Betting Action

55%

Puckline +1.5 -250
Moneyline +106
Over / Under u +5.5

45%

Betting Action

55%

The Bolts are short road favourites on the NHL odds to take a 3-2 series lead.

Lightning vs. Rangers NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

This series is starting to somewhat mimic the Rangers-Hurricanes series of the last round where the home team won the first six games before New York won in a Game 7 upset in Raleigh, N.C., to advance. In the NHL’s expansion era (since 1967-68), Lightning-Rangers is the ninth conference finals/semifinals to see the home team win at least each of the first four games. It hadn’t happened since Bruins-Penguins in 1991. That’s surprising.

It’s the 12th time a defending Stanley Cup champion such as Tampa Bay has tied a best-of-seven series at 2-2 after losing the first two games and fifth in the conference finals/semifinals.

On the updated series line, Tampa Bay is -179 and New York +134. The favoured exact result is Lightning in six at +176, and I’m starting to lean that way with a couple of Rangers injuries. The long shot is Rangers in six at +415. That it finishes in seven games is a very slight -115 favourite over six (-116).

Tampa Bay Lightning

At some point, all-world netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy was going to raise his game to another level, and he did in Tampa Bay’s 4-1 home win in Game 4 with 34 saves. The Russian has now allowed just one even-strength goal in the past two games.  Vasilevskiy’s six-game home playoff winning streak matches a career and franchise high. Patrick Maroon (third of playoffs), red-hot Nikita Kucherov (seventh), Steven Stamkos (seventh) and Ondrej Palat (seventh) all scored. Palat and Stamkos each scored for the third time this series and have 16 and 15 career goals, respectively, in the conference finals/semifinals, the first- and second-most in the third round among active players.  Kucherov has scored in three straight games with six total points.

The Lightning were more disciplined in giving the Rangers a scant two power-play chances – that’s really the only way New York can score right now. It’s quite possible that top-six forward Brayden Point, out since Game 7 of Round 1 vs. Toronto, returns for Game 5. He has been practicing. The Lightning are 6-1 in their past seven following a win.

New York Rangers

The Rangers did continue their postseason power-play success with Artemi Panarin’s sixth overall goal of these playoffs in Game 4, but that came with the team down 3-0 and about three minutes left in regulation. Defenceman Adam Fox’s streak of eight straight games with a point ended and he was minus-3. Forward Chris Kreider extended his point streak to six straight games with an assist. Igor Shesterkin turned aside 27 of 30 shots. He has been not quite as good on the road this season, playoffs included.

Forward Ryan Strome didn’t play Game 4 with an injury and fellow forward Filip Chytil left with an upper-body injury. Both are being called game-time decisions for Thursday. They each have nine points in these playoffs. The Rangers are 3-8 in their past 11 as underdogs.

Game 5 Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Rangers?

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