Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Game 7 Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 14, 2022

William Nylander, Toronto Maple Leafs, 2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs have another chance to snap a two-decade long stretch of playoff futility when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday night in Game 7.

Tampa Bay
May 14, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 -221
Moneyline +118
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +184
Moneyline -141
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


The Toronto Maple Leafs have another chance to snap a two-decade long stretch of playoff futility when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday night in Game 7 of their NHL first round playoff series. The Maple Leafs saw their current epic losing streak when poised to clinch a playoff series extend to nine games with a 4-3 overtime loss in Game 6. Long suffering members of Leafs nation now face the spectre of their beloved team falling to defeat for the eighth time in as many postseason series appearances since 2004. The Lightning avoided suffering consecutive defeats for the first time in 53 playoff games with Thursday’s victory. However, Tampa Bay has earned the win in just one of their past three Game 7 appearances, and is just 2-2 all-time in Game 7 clashes on the road.

The Maple Leafs have emerged as strengthening -133 favourites to flip the script on their dismal playoff narrative with a win on Saturday, supported by 58% of sports bettors. The Lightning lag as +111 underdogs to claim a ninth straight playoff series win. The total has held steady since opening at 6.5, with the OVER favoured with -115 odds.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL Betting Odds

It is tough to overstate just how much is on the line for the Toronto Maple Leafs and their fans going into Saturday night’s matchup at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have held their own in their most recent bid to return to playoff respectability, alternating between wins and losses through the first six games of their current playoff clash with the two-time defending Stanley Cup champions. Toronto has also claimed victory in four of six overall home dates with the Lightning.

However, Leafs sports betting fans struggling with anxiety over the possibility of yet another early playoff exit may want to stop reading right now. Their beloved Buds have been largely outclassed during a four-game losing streak in Game 7 appearances that began with a soul crushing meltdown in the final minutes of their series-defining date with Boston in 2013. The Maple Leafs have allowed 5.00 goals per game during that Game 7 slide, and 4.33 goals per game while losing nine straight when poised to clinch.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have fueled their attack during this series by seizing on early scoring opportunities, and cashing in on the power play. Tampa Bay jumped out to an early multi-goal lead for the fourth time in the series in Game 6, and have now outscored Toronto by a 7-2 margin in first-period action. Despite those fast starts, the Lightning lag as an attractive +100 underdog on the first period moneyline. The Lightning have scored eight of their 21 goals in the series either on the power play or shorthanded. Ondrej Palat has emerged as a surprising goal scoring leader with three markers, but has mustered just one assist on the road in the series.

Toronto Maple Leafs

An uber-talented team who sealed their own fate in Game 6 by making sloppy turnovers and taking dumb penalties, the Maple Leafs enter a date with history in their date with the battle-hardened Lightning on Saturday night. Auston Matthews has excelled on both sides of the puck during the series. He leads the club with four goals and eight points, and can expect huge minutes of playing time, making him a good bet to find the back of the net again on Saturday. John Tavares has stirred from his early-series slumber with three goals over the past two games, while William Nylander has racked up eight points during a three-game point streak. While the easy, albeit cynical pick in this game is a multi-goal loss by Toronto, all streaks must end eventually. And with both the franchise’s reputation, and possibly the future of the current group of Leafs players on the line, betting with their heart will be the right move for Leafs fans in Game 7.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?