Vegas Golden Knights vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 6 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 23, 2021

Rookie Cole Caufield continues to impress as the Montreal Canadiens sit one win away from playing for the Stanley Cup for the first time since 1993.

Vegas
40-14-0-2
AT
June 24, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
Montreal
24-21-8-3
Puckline -1.5 +188
Moneyline -121
Over / Under o +5

27%

Betting Action

73%

Puckline +1.5 -227
Moneyline +100
Over / Under u +5

27%

Betting Action

73%

The Montreal Canadiens can punch their very unlikely ticket to the Stanley Cup Finals with a home win in Game 6 over the Vegas Golden Knights on Thursday night. Just like in every game this series, Vegas is favoured on the NHL odds. The total is 5.0 goals

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens Stanley Cup Odds

On the puckline for Game 6, Montreal is -224 at +1.5 goals and Vegas is +186 at -1.5. The over 5.0 goals is a -131 favourite – even though no game in this series has had more than five goals scored.

No team from Canada has reached the Stanley Cup Finals since Vancouver lost in seven games to Boston in 2011. Montreal hasn’t been there since winning it in 1993 – the last time a team from Canada hoisted the Cup.

With a 3-2 lead, the Habs are series favourites for the first time at -200, with the Golden Knights at +162. To win the Cup, Montreal is +288 and Vegas +335. Tampa Bay is the -109 favourite. The Canadiens would NOT have home-ice advantage in the Cup Final whether they face the Lightning or New York Islanders (+1100). Vegas would have it against both.

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas had been 2-0 in franchise history in Game 5 of a playoff series that was tied 2-2, but the Knights were frankly blown off the ice in Tuesday’s shocking 4-1 home loss. Coach Peter DeBoer had surprisingly benched future Hall of Fame goalie Marc-Andre Fleury in Game 4 for Robin Lehner, and Lehner was terrific in an overtime win in Montreal. Fleury was back in there for Game 5 and particularly had his issues in the second period, allowing two goals on 11 shots. We imagine it will be Lehner in Game 6.

Former Canadiens captain Max Pacioretty had the lone Vegas goal on Tuesday, his fifth of the playoffs, but his team was already down 3-0. Top-line centre Chandler Stephenson played for the first time since Game 1 due to injury and was minus-1 in 19:01 of ice time. The Golden Knights are 9-1 in their past 10 following a loss of three or more goals.

Montreal Canadiens

Carey Price was the deserved No. 1 star in Tuesday’s 4-1 win with 26 saves – he is now the +312 second favourite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy — but there were plenty of huge performances. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (fifth of playoffs), Eric Staal (second), Cole Caufield (first; on power play) and Nick Suzuki (fifth; empty net) all scored. Suzuki added two assists and was the No. 2 star. He now has 13 points in these playoffs, and the only player in team history with more in a single post-season before age 22 was Claude Lemieux with 16 in 1986. Caufield is up to eight points and is the first Montreal rookie with at least that many in a postseason since PK Subban in 2010. Tyler Toffoli added two assists and continues to pace the team with 14 playoff points.

If there is a Game 7 on Saturday back in Las Vegas, the Habs surely will feel confident as they are 2-1 there this series and 7-2 on the road in these playoffs, tying the 1989 team for most road wins in a single postseason. Teams that own a 3-2 lead in a best-of-7 hold an all-time series record of 330-88, including 6-1 in these playoffs. Montreal is 3-7 in its past 10 Thursday games.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Canadiens?

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